Dictators don’t have a good track record of financial management. Just look at Russia, Venezuela, Argentina, etc. if you don’t believe me. Okay, China may be the exception but I don’t think the fat lady has sung there yet. Turkey is channeling Russia big time right now and this will not end well. Stay away from the lira.
The problem is the same tired old scenario that we are unfortunately seeing too many times around the globe these days. Of course the situation in Turkey has the special circumstance that we are dealing with the old Ottoman Empire right next door to the Islamic State and a rising Iran, but that’s another story altogether.
… View article >
Two charts that show the woe for emerging market currencies despite a pause in the devaluation of the renminbi, the cause of turmoil across global currencies.
The implications — among them a more troubled Chinese economy than previously thought, deflationary strains in western countries and falling equity stocks — are being felt mostly by China’s regional trading neighbours and other emerging markets. View article >
Only one story dominated markets yesterday and it wasn’t the pontificating of Monetary Policy Committee members on interest rates and the state of the UK economy. The news that a Russian jet had been downed by Turkish forces set markets on edge and hyped up fears that the mishmash of coalition forces, the Free Syrian Army and the Russians are not able to bring about a sufficient level of coordinated violence against ISIS with a disparate command and control structure.
… View article >
Turkish Lira 1 Week charts
You know a country has a strange sort of democracy when despite a coup attempt over the weekend, the currency is down less than 1 percent versus the US Dollar. In fact the Turkish Lira is even up for the week versus the Japanese Yen!
Please note: the above quoted exchange rates, updated Mon Jul 18, are market mid-rates that will have a commission applied by your typical high street bank. View article >