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Philippine Peso Weakness a “Sure Bet” Says Alpari; One Dollar to Buy 53 Pesos at Year-End

On Thursday, the central bank of the Philippines, Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas, maintained what many analysts consider to be a dovish stance by leaving interest rates on hold at a record low of 3.0% and by expressing no discomfort with a national currency that has fallen to its weakest levels since 2006. In the hours following the Bangko Sentral’s meeting, with the dollar fetching 51 pesos, give or take, Alpari Research’s chief analyst, Thomasz Wisniewski, told ANC’s Market Edge program that future peso weakness was a “sure bet” and predicted a fall in the peso (a rise in USD/PHP) to 53.0 by year-end. View article >

Asia-Pac Takes a Hit as Fed Sticks to Guns on Rate Hike, Balance Sheet Normalization

Currencies in the Asia-Pacific region fell against the US dollar on Thursday morning after the Federal Reserve signaled that it would raise interest rates again this year and would begin shrinking its balance sheet in October. The Fed funds rate was left unchanged at its current range of 1–1.25%. Although the majority of economists had expected this would be the Fed’s position, for some, doubt had crept in following hurricanes Harvey and Irma. View article >

New Zealand Dollar Jumps as New Election Poll Suggests National Party Victory

The New Zealand dollar jumped by three-quarters of a percent against many of the majors on Wednesday evening after the latest election poll showed a clear swing in public opinion back towards the incumbent National Party. New Zealand’s general election will take place in three days’ time, on Saturday September 23rd. NZD/USD is now seen at a six-week high close to 0.7315 and NZD/AUD at a four-week high of 0.918. View article >

Venezuela Ditches the Dollar; Begins Pricing Oil in Yuan

In retaliation to US sanctions, in its latest weekly report Venezuela’s oil ministry has published prices for the country’s petroleum products in Chinese yuan, rather than US dollars. One barrel of Venezuelan oil will now cost buyers CNY 306.26 – equivalent to USD 46.76. Venezuela has the largest proven oil reserves in the world, at 300 billion barrels. The oft-touted “king of oil,” Saudi Arabia, has only 266 billion barrels. View article >

ABM Amro Has “Strong Conviction” on Future Dollar Weakness; Predicts 12% Rise in AUD and NZD

New forecasts from Dutch bank ABN Amro see continued weakness in the US dollar heading into and throughout 2018. “We have a strong conviction that the US dollar has entered a multi-year downtrend,” said ABN’s Georgette Boele. The dollar will be hardest hit against “growth sensitive and commodity currencies,” according to the bank, which include the Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar, Canadian dollar, Norwegian krone and Swedish krona. View article >

Sterling Soars, Yen the Casualty at the End of Eventful Week

The British pound rose on Friday to its highest level against the dollar since the UK’s historic ‘Brexit’ vote in June of last year. By lunchtime in London, the pound was buying $1.3616, capping a brilliant fortnight in which it has risen from rates close to $1.29. On minor profit taking, the currency settled back at $1.3583, for a weekly gain of 3.1%. View article >

Missile Test Whipsaws Yen and Swiss Central Bank Speaks on Franc

Investors were rattled on Friday morning following the news that North Korea had launched another missile over northern Japan. After traversing the island of Hokkaido, the missile is said to have travelled a further 1200 miles before landing in the Pacific Ocean. The North Korean regime preceded its test with statements that it would “sink” Japan and reduce the United States to “ashes and darkness.” The comments were made in response to new UN sanctions which restrict oil imports and textile exports in the hope of starving the regime of fuel and income. View article >

BMI Research: Malaysian Ringgit to Appreciate as Government Seeks to Balance the Books

The Malaysian ringgit is set to appreciate against the US dollar to 4.1 by the end of next year’s first quarter, according to the team at BMI Research. The dollar-ringgit exchange rate (USD/MYR) had averaged 4.285 in the months of July and August but has fallen sharply (the ringgit has risen) in the first half of September. In a move that likely piggybacked off strength in the Chinese yuan, the ringgit rallied to a one-year high on September 8th when USD/MYR fell to just 4.18. View article >

Singapore Dollar Trades Cautiously but Still Reaches 6-Week High Versus Yen

The Singapore dollar has begun the week cautiously. Against the US dollar, having risen on Friday to a one-year high of 0.7493, the currency of Asia’s ‘Lion City’ conceded some ground on Monday and Tuesday, with SGD/USD falling back below 0.745. A retreat in the pair was likely given last week’s approach to major technical resistance at 0.75 and Hurricane Irma’s last-minute detour which thankfully spared the US from a worst-case impact. View article >

New Zealand Dollar Remains Heavy as Election Looms

The New Zealand dollar sank on Monday morning against the other FX majors amid uncertainty over New Zealand’s future government and on the back of a continuation in weak sales data. Advanced voting in New Zealand’s general election begins on Monday, ahead of election day on September 23rd, and while polls indicate no clear favourite, the latest poll does finally place Labour ahead of the incumbent National Party by a margin of 4 points (43 to 39). View article >
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