SGD - Recent Performance
The Singapore dollar has done little in recent months. More than halfway through October, USD/SGD and EUR/SGD stood at 1.357 and 1.603, matching their levels in late July.
Against the US dollar, SGD bulls are hopeful for another attack on 1.3350 – the major support level in USD/SGD. Previous attempts on the level failed in April, June and August of 2016, and again in September this year.
In EUR/SGD, a rate of 1.6 continues to be a magnet for price. With the exception of a single-day probe above 1.63 in late August, which at the time marked a two-year low in SGD buying power, EUR/SGD has spent all of its time in recent months between 1.593 and 1.62.
Economic data coming from Singapore continues to present mixed signals. In October, Singapore’s Ministry of Trade and Industry released preliminary data showing the economy growing at 4.6% – the country’s highest rate of annual growth since 2014. Offsetting that was September’s plunge in exports. A monthly decline of 11% took annual export growth into negative territory (-1.1%), compared with annualized growth one month earlier of 16.7%. Among eight Asian countries releasing trade data in October, only Singapore posted weak export numbers.
Analysts at Singapore’s largest bank, DBS, said in August that SGD was “too strong” against USD and suggested that further SGD appreciation would be hard to come by.