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Euro Forecasts for 2020

Forecasts for the euro change all the time, affected by news events and relative sentiment towards the overall Eurozone economy. This continually updated article reviews EUR bank forecasts and popular cross-rate trends.

In May, Deutsche Bank predicted more euro depreciation. It said EUR/USD could break $1.10 over the summer, with key drivers being the Coronavirus pandemic , US-China trade war, and a possibly delayed Brexit.

On Brexit, Nordea Research has said that “no deal” will have the euro buying £0.95, that a Norway-type Brexit (“Norway plus”) or permanent customs union will lead to £0.81-0.83, and a deal akin to the current withdrawal agreement should see £0.83-0.84.

EUR/AUD could be a lot higher by year-end, at rates between A$1.67 and A$1.785, based on implied forecasts from Danske Bank and Westpac.

EUR in the markets

EUR will fall to 0.80 against the British pound according to Standard Bank. The coronavirus pandemic has replaced Brexit in the headlines and means that the deadline for a trade deal with the Eurozone this year could either be pushed back, delaying a risk for the currency, or see more favorable terms given to the U.K.

Rabobank told Bloomberg TV in early April that they see the Euro holding its value in an otherwise difficult virus affected year for most currencies.

The Euro spent 2019 on a downwards trajectory, starting the year with highs at US1.1550 but then slid all year until October where it bottomed out at US$1.09 on Oct 1, close to long-term lows. Since then it has climbed back up towards the average rate for the year of US1.12, perhaps due to the less uncertainty around Brexit.



EUR/USD - 90 day trend
ALERT:30-DAY HIGHS |
EUR/USD at 1.1034 was trading 0.9% above AVG:1.0934 with LO:1.066 and HI:1.1443 (90 days). ALERT: EUR/USD rose to 30-DAY HIGHS.

You can also read our full Foreign Exchange Guide to the Eurozone.

What is a good Euro exchange rate?

This is a difficult question and the answer really depends on many factors. The best way to consider an exchange rate’s current relative value is to look at the euro’s history against a range of currencies and in particular against the currency you are interested in exchanging it with.

For example, the following tables look at the change in the EUR exchange rate to the present day for periods going back 10 years for popular EUR exchange rates.

EUR/USDPeriod to 27-MayDateRate
0.2% ▲1 Week20 May 20201.0979
1.7% ▲30 Days27 Apr 20201.0825
0.1% ▲90 Days27 Feb 20201.0997
1.5% ▼1 Year28 May 20191.1168
0.3% ▲5 Years29 May 20151.0969
11% ▼10 Years30 May 20101.2371
EUR/USD 10 year rates & changes to 27-May-2020 (1.1005)
EUR/GBPPeriod to 27-MayDateRate
0.1% ▲1 Week20 May 20200.8973
3% ▲30 Days27 Apr 20200.8714
5.2% ▲90 Days27 Feb 20200.8533
1.8% ▲1 Year28 May 20190.8823
25.2% ▲5 Years29 May 20150.7173
5.7% ▲10 Years30 May 20100.8490
EUR/GBP 10 year rates & changes to 27-May-2020 (0.8978)
EUR/AUDPeriod to 27-MayDateRate
0.2% ▼1 Week20 May 20201.6657
0.9% ▼30 Days27 Apr 20201.6785
0.5% ▼90 Days27 Feb 20201.6711
3.1% ▲1 Year28 May 20191.6128
15.9% ▲5 Years29 May 20151.4350
14.1% ▲10 Years30 May 20101.4572
EUR/AUD 10 year rates & changes to 27-May-2020 (1.6626)
 
Please note that the opinions of our authors are their own and do not reflect the opinion of Best Exchange Rates and should not be taken as a reference to buy or sell any financial product.
 
 

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