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NZ dollar (NZD) forecasts for 2019

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Forecasts for the New Zealand dollar change all the time, affected by news events and relative sentiment towards the New Zealand economy. This continually updated article reviews the latest forecasts from banks and FX experts as well as news and recent movements of NZD in the currency markets.

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NZD in the markets

The New Zealand dollar weakened in June to a 7-month low against the euro, at rates below €0.58.

At US$0.65, the kiwi remained weak against the greenback, 6 percent lower than rates in March.

Against the Australian dollar, NZD has been steady in recent months, having spent much of its time between A$0.94 and A$0.95.

Robbing New Zealand's currency of gains in 2019 have been lower NZ interest rates, reduced risk appetite spurred on by an escalation in the US-China trade standoff, and high correlations with other weak currencies, including the Australian dollar and yuan.

NZD/USD – 6 month chart

NZD forecasts

Citigroup analysts said in June that the RBNZ will likely be a policy follower (if other central banks cut or threaten to cut rates, they will too) with the intent of keeping kiwi exchange rates at competitive levels for NZ businesses.

In 3 months’ time, Citi expects NZD/AUD, NZD/USD and NZD/EUR at A$0.955, $0.66 and €0.59 respectively.

Risks to the above forecasts come in the form of US-China trade tensions (New Zealand has very strong trade links with China) and any subsequent depreciation of the Chinese yuan because of NZD’s high correlations with Asian currencies.

You can also read our full Foreign Exchange Guide to New Zealand.

NZD/USD – Historical Rates

PeriodChange*NZD/USDDate
1 Day-0.6%0.629419 Sep 2019
7 Day-1.9%0.637613 Sep 2019
30 Day-2.3%0.640521 Aug 2019
3 Month-5.1%0.659222 Jun 2019
1 Year-6.3%0.668120 Sep 2018
5 Year-23.2%0.814621 Sep 2014
10 Year-13.2%0.721122 Sep 2009

*For period to 20-Sep 21UTC when NZD/USD was 0.6258

 

NZD/AUD – Historical Rates

PeriodChange*NZD/AUDDate
1 Day-0.2%0.926719 Sep 2019
7 Day-0.3%0.927113 Sep 2019
30 Day-2.1%0.944021 Aug 2019
3 Month-2.8%0.951022 Jun 2019
1 Year+0.8%0.916920 Sep 2018
5 Year+1.4%0.911821 Sep 2014
10 Year+12%0.825622 Sep 2009

*For period to 20-Sep 21UTC when NZD/AUD was 0.9244

 

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