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Swiss franc (CHF) forecasts for 2019

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Swiss franc forecast

CHF in the markets

The Swiss National Bank continues to reaffirm its commitment to an ultra-loose monetary policy, which includes negative interest rates and a willingness to intervene in FX markets, as part of an effort to spark inflation in the economy.

The SNB will be unhappy, therefore, with the franc’s strength in May.

Between April-23 and May-24 (the day of this report), the franc was the best performing G10 currency; it gained 2.2 percent against the euro, taking EUR/CHF back towards Fr1.12 and close to long-term lows (franc highs).

May’s strength reflected worsening sentiment towards the global economy, driven by a significant escalation in US-China trade tensions. As a safe haven, the franc typically gains value during tough times and sinks when investors gain confidence.

EUR/CHF – 6 month chart.

CHF forecasts

The franc is unlikely to strengthen beyond Fr1.10 per euro, given the SNB’s eagerness to safeguard that level, a Nordea analyst said in May. For this reason, favour higher EUR/CHF rates over three- and six-month horizons, possibly as high as Fr1.16.

 

Swiss franc – Historical Rates

PeriodChange*USD/CHFDate
1 Day-0.2%0.992919 Sep 2019
7 Day+0.1%0.990013 Sep 2019
30 Day+0.9%0.982221 Aug 2019
3 Month+1.6%0.975122 Jun 2019
1 Year+3.3%0.958920 Sep 2018
5 Year+5.4%0.940621 Sep 2014
10 Year-3.2%1.024122 Sep 2009

*For period to 20-Sep 21UTC when USD/CHF was 0.9910

You can also read our full Foreign Exchange Guide to Switzerland.

 

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