Loonie Gets the Moody’s Blues

Email share     Facebook     LinkedIn    Twitter

Moody’s Investor Service downgraded the six largest Canadian banks at the end of the day on Thursday and the Loonie got knocked for a loop in Asia.

USDCAD closed at 1.3655 on Wednesday and spiked to 1.3741 in Asia.  European traders didn’t seem concerned with the Moody’s report and the sold USDCAD and drove it back to 1.3685 at the New York open.

The New Zealand dollar got beaten up as well.  The Reserve Bank of New Zealand left interest rates unchanged and delivered a doveish statement.  NZDUSD gapped lower, dropping from a pre-announcement level of 0.6937 to 0.6818 after the news.

AUDUSD dropped in concert with the Loonie and Kiwi in Asia but reversed those gains completely in Europe. AUDUSD open in New York a tick higher than where it was at the close.

EURUSD was quiet (as usual) in Asia but unable to crack below support in the 1.0820 area.  The European Commission increased its EMU growth forecast to 1.7% from 1.6%.  They also suggested that a rise in inflation to 1.6% in 2017 would be temporary and it would drop back to 1.3% in 2018.

Sterling traded sideways in Asia but dropped from 1.2947 to 1.2905 in Europe after a series of weak economic reports including Manufacturing Production, Industrial Production, and Trade.  It bounced back to 1.2922 ahead of this morning’s Bank of England policy meeting.

Oil added to yesterday’s large gains, with WTI rising from $47.22 to $48.10 at the New York open. Oil is benefiting from the large crude drawdowns reported by the API on Tuesday and confirmed by the EIA yesterday.  In addition, Saudi Arabia’s cut in supply to some Asia customers is helping the tone.

There is a bit of data from Canada and the US which may keep markets amused and entertained. The Bank of Canada’s quarterly review is released just after more housing data. The US data includes PPI, and Initial Jobless Claims.


Overnight Ranges

11-May High Low
USDCAD 1.3685 1.3741 1.3657
EURUSD 1.0870 1.0891 1.0863
USDJPY 114.16 114.36 114.07
GBPUSD 1.2923 1.2947 1.2905
USDCHF 1.0080 1.0094 1.0074
AUDUSD 0.7369 0.7337 0.7339
NZDUSD 0.6844 0.6864 0.6819
USDMXN 18.9260 19.0320 18.9260
WTI   48.07 48.13 47.38
Close 4:00 pm EDT-Open 6:00 am EDT

USDCAD Technical outlook:

The intraday USDCAD technicals are bearish.  The downtrend from the May 5 peak of 1.3792 stays intact while prices are below 1.3740, and now looks for a break of the 1.3640-1.3660 area to extend losses to 1.3590. and then 1.3550.  Longer term, the technicals are bullish.  A break of 1.3750 will target 1.3850.

Today’s Range 1.3640-1.3740

Chart: USDCAD 1 hour



Further Reading


Coronavirus spread fears linger – USD strong – AUD at 11 year lows

This week the US Dollar was touching three-year highs when valued against a basket of major currencies. The greenback’s traditional role as one of the safe-haven currencies is helped by a domestic economy that is largely immune to the threats of the coronavirus.

Last update: 22 Feb, 2020

Coronavirus unnerves currency markets

The strong start to the year for “risk-on” currencies is already a distant memory.

Posted: 3 Feb, 2020

New Year Optimism Retreats on US/Iran Tension

The threat of a proxy war between the US and Iran in Iraq has pared back some of the recent gains of “risk-on” currencies.

Last update: 8 Jan, 2020


Posted to: News

Please note that the opinions of our authors are their own and do not reflect the opinion of Best Exchange Rates and should not be taken as a reference to buy or sell any financial product.

Get a Better FX Deal when you Send and Spend Abroad.


Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!