The Pound’s (GBP) recent recovery was supported by the release of the UK’s latest manufacturing production figures yesterday as output held at 0.4% in August, beating expectations it would fall to 0.2% and offsetting an unexpected rise in Britain’s trade deficit.
Also aiding Sterling was NIESR’s latest UK GDP estimate, with the thinktank predicting that British economic growth will rise to 0.4% in the third quarter, a slight acceleration from 0.3% in the previous quarter.
Looking ahead, a fairly quiet week for UK data will likely see markets focus on the fifth round of Brexit talks, with any suggestions that progress remains slow likely to cause the Pound to weaken.
The Pound Euro (GBP EUR) exchange rate began to retreat in early trade this morning as Catalan leader Carles Puigdemont delayed the implementation of his independence declaration, allowing for more time for talks between the Catalan and Spanish governments.
This built on upbeat German data released on Tuesday which showed that exports from the manufacturing powerhouse boomed in August.
Sterling remained steady against the US Dollar (USD) in overnight trade on Tuesday as doubts over Trump’s ability to implement tax reforms weighed on the ‘Greenback’.
Markets fear that infighting within the Republican Party may hamper the President’s attempts to push through his tax changes, with a growing feud between Trump and Tennessee Senator Bob Corker being particularly concerning.
Meanwhile, USD investors will be focused on the release of the minutes from the Federal Reserve’s latest policy meeting today, with markets hoping that the accounts will reveal more about the bank’s policy plans and whether a December rate hikes is as likely as analysts predict.
The Pound Canadian Dollar (GBP CAD) exchange rate pushed higher again on Tuesday as a larger than expected decline in new building permits issued in August suggests that Canada’s housing market may be slowing at a faster pace than expected.
Sterling was forced to cede some ground against the Australian Dollar (AUD) overnight on Tuesday as Australia released its latest Consumer Confidence data, with the index jumping from 97.9 to 101.35 in October, the first positive survey in almost a year.
New Zealand Dollar
After briefly dipping in the Asian session last night, the Pound New Zealand Dollar (GBP NZD) exchange rate returned to trading close to its best levels this week as political uncertainty continues to weigh on the ‘Kiwi’.
This week the US Dollar was touching three-year highs when valued against a basket of major currencies. The greenback’s traditional role as one of the safe-haven currencies is helped by a domestic economy that is largely immune to the threats of the coronavirus.
Last update: 22 Feb, 2020
The strong start to the year for “risk-on” currencies is already a distant memory.
Posted: 3 Feb, 2020
The threat of a proxy war between the US and Iran in Iraq has pared back some of the recent gains of “risk-on” currencies.
Last update: 8 Jan, 2020