This is the current AUD-USD mid-market exchange rate. The Total Cost of buying foreign currency in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market AUD-USD exchange rate.
Whenever you are researching a particular exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies as the value of a currency must always be quoted relative to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the AUD vs USD, you should pay attention to both Australian Dollar and United States Dollar news and forecasts.
Following a flash crash in early January, which saw the Australian dollar briefly trade at a 10-year low of $0.674, the Aussie recovered to $0.73, but then, as it had done before the flash crash, it commenced with a slow and steady decline, and it was back at $0.705 in mid-March and was predicted to fall further.
In February, HSBC predicted a year-end AUD/USD rate of $0.66. In March, Westpac and JP Morgan were slightly more upbeat and argued for $0.68.
Fuelling lower exchange rate forecasts is the Australian economic story, for which major themes include a housing market slump, Chinese growth and the US-China trade spat. The RBA slashed growth forecasts in February and markets are now pricing in 1-2 interest rate cuts this year.
Another Aussie exchange rate worth mentioning is AUD/GBP, which sank in mid-March to its lowest level in nearly 3 years, at just £0.53. The Australian dollar has been unable to compete with the pound of late, since the latter benefits every time the British government fails to make a decision on how to deliver Brexit (every time Brexit appears less likely or to be delayed).
The US dollar had been falling steadily in the lead-up to the March-20 Fed meeting, and those that were selling the currency amid speculation of a dovish surprise were entirely vindicated after the central bank ditched its December projection for two 2019 interest rate hikes and said it now sees rates unchanged until 2020.
The extent of the Fed’s dovish turn meant that the dollar suffered a rapid and significant correction. The euro leapt on the new projections to a 6-week high against the dollar of $1.145 and other major and emerging market currencies followed suit.
The Fed’s reassessment of future monetary policy reflects concerns over domestic and global economic growth, as well as inflation and risks originating overseas, likely including Brexit.
Earlier this year, ING said the dollar would soon “embark on a gradual long-term bearish trend.”
CIBC said: “A slowdown in the economy is likely to weigh on USD particularly in the second half of this year.”
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