Pound Sterling - Indian Rupee Forecasting
When determining the best time to make a foreign exchange transaction, in this case the GBP vs INR, you should pay attention to the recent market trends for both currencies.
Pound Sterling (GBP)
In the 2nd half of August market analysts started forecasting risk to the downside for the pound from US 1.33 given the tight 7 week deadline for Brexit combined with the drop in domestic demand due to the pandemic.
US dollar weakness has helped the embattled pound continue its recovery off June and early July lows. Despite this brief upturn, the outlook remains pessimistic as Brexit uncertainty and questions over the economy’s ability to rebound after the pandemic weigh on the currency.
In late July pound sterling is heading back towards US1.30 due to US dollar weakness. This is a remarkable change of fortunes for GBP which was sold-off after the Brexit vote and again after the virus forced a lockdown in London, the world’s largest foreign-exchange centre. Against the dollar, sterling touched the lowest level in 35 years (below US1.16) in March as traders sought the safety of the USD.
The coronavirus pandemic has replaced Brexit in the headlines and means that the deadline for a trade deal with the Eurozone this year could either be pushed back, delaying a risk for the currency, or see more favorable terms given to the U.K.
Read more in the article GBP Forecasts.
Indian Rupee (INR)
Migrant workers from Asia’s developing countries, such as India, have been sending home record amounts of money in recent months, defying pandemic expectations and propping up home economies at a critical time.
However, it appears workers are just sending money home in advance of their own return due to a bleak job market, particularly in the Middle East.
The Indian rupee exhibits strong seasonal patterns: the rupee typically falls in value every second-quarter (April-to-June) due to India’s heightened gold demand heading into Akshaya Tritiya – the annual spring time festival of the Hindus and Jains.
Accordingly many currency forecasts point out that rupee strength is to be expected in the second half of a typical year.
Read more in the article INR Forecasts.