When you are thinking about sending money abroad, an international money transfer provider is a great option. They can help you with the whole process, provide useful online tools and most importantly bank-beating exchange rates and low or zero fees.
This is a chart showing the change in the USD-NOK mid-market exchange rate over the last week. The Total Cost of each foreign transfer in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market USD-NOK exchange rate.
Whenever you are interested in an exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies due to the fact that the value of a currency must always be quoted in comparison to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the USD vs NOK, you should pay attention to both United States Dollar and Norwegian Krone news and forecasts.
In the third week of April the Dollar Index was rallying strongly towards the mid-97s, slightly below major resistance at 97.70, a break of which would be massively positive for the greenback. The index was up 1.7 percent year-to-date.
The dollar’s strength comes in spite of a dovish surprise in March from the Federal Reserve, which ditched two interest rate hikes from its 2019 projections. Fortunately for dollar holders, the rest of the world has problems and other important central banks also turned dovish, removing much of the incentive for selling USD.
Bloomberg research warned in April of potential for a large upcoming move in the US dollar, up or down. Over the past quarter-century, three prominent troughs in the JPMorgan Global FX Volatility Index were followed by dollar moves over 6-month periods worth 10-15 percent. The index was trading in mid-April at a 5-year low.
16-February-2019: January was a good month for the Norwegian krone with gains of 3 percent against both the dollar and euro. The krone was driven higher by a turn in the oil price, which had collapsed in the fourth quarter of last year. In December, oil losses took the krone to a 10-year low against the euro (Kr10.057) and to a 3-year low versus the dollar (Kr8.823). By the end of January, the dollar was buying only Kr8.426 and the euro only Kr9.646.
In the first half of February, the krone has struggled: on balance, it has given back roughly half of its January gains. Traders appeared to anticipate February’s slower inflation data (for the month of January) and favoured other currencies. Traders also sought more liquid, safer currencies as recession risks increased for some of Norway’s major trading partners.
Norway's central bank said in December that it would “most likely” raise interest rates in March. A tighter Norwegian monetary policy throughout 2019 would support the krone, especially if the ECB fails to raise rates.
In February, Lloyds predicted EUR/NOK at 9.4 at year-end.