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Canadian dollar (CAD) market outlook and exchange rates

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CAD Market Update

27 Jul 2026 • 00:27 GMT

CAD/USD 0.7099

The Canadian dollar (CAD) remains close to its recent levels against the US dollar, trading around 0.7099. This is about 1% below its three-month average of 0.7171, and the pair has held within a stable range from 0.7026 to 0.7363. Recent soft inflation data in Canada, which showed June CPI slowing to 2.8%, has lessened expectations for further rate hikes by the Bank of Canada and pushed the USD/CAD higher, approaching 1.4060.

Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to experience mixed signals amid geopolitical tensions and energy market concerns, supported briefly by rising oil prices. The dollar's strength has helped keep the CAD under pressure, especially as US economic and policy developments unfold.

Looking ahead, if US dollar momentum persists, the CAD could stay pressured. Oil prices and US Federal Reserve decisions remain key factors. Some banks forecast a gradual decline in USD/CAD towards 1.34 by year's end, suggesting some potential for Canadian dollar recovery if the US dollar weakens or oil prices stay high. For now, the CAD remains relatively stable but sensitive to shifts in US dollar strength and global energy markets.

Forecast snapshot

Quick CAD/USD forecast

Near-term bias⚪ Range-bound
Expected range0.7060 – 0.7280
Dominant driver⚖️ Interest-rate differentials
3-month trend⚪ Range-bound

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Canadian dollar to US dollar · CAD/USD trend

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CAD to USD at 0.7099 is 1.0% below its 3-month average of 0.7171, having traded in a quite stable 4.8% range from 0.7026 to 0.7363
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