EUR/MYR Outlook:
The EUR/MYR is likely to decrease as it currently trades near 90-day lows and is significantly below its recent average. The rate is pressured by a more resilient Malaysian economy and narrowing interest rate differentials.
Key drivers:
• Rate gap: The European Central Bank has maintained its interest rates, while Malaysia's central bank kept rates lower, which narrows the interest rate gap in favor of the MYR.
• Risk/commodities: Rising oil prices can support the MYR, as Malaysia is a net exporter of oil, benefiting from higher global oil values.
• Macroeconomic factor: Malaysia's robust GDP growth, driven by consumption and exports, reinforces confidence in the MYR's stability.
Range:
Expect EUR/MYR to hold within its recent range, oscillating between its lows and highs, but potentially trending lower.
What could change it:
• Upside risk: A significant shift in ECB policy could bolster the euro.
• Downside risk: A sudden decline in global oil prices may negatively impact the MYR.