The current market bias for EUR to MYR is bearish.
Key drivers include the interest rate differential between the European Central Bank (ECB) and Malaysia's monetary policy, which tends to favor the MYR as the ECB maintains a cautious stance on interest rates. Additionally, Malaysia's positive economic outlook, highlighted by strong GDP growth and improving fiscal conditions, supports the MYR. The euro is also influenced by global oil prices, currently under pressure, which indirectly weakens the euro as it trades lower than its recent average.
In the near term, the expected trading range for EUR to MYR may remain stable but slightly below previous levels, reflecting a 1.4% drop from its 3-month average.
Upside risks include potential improvements in eurozone economic data that could strengthen the euro. Conversely, a resurgence in geopolitical tensions surrounding the Ukraine conflict could further weaken the euro, maintaining the downward pressure in the exchange rate.