The EUR to NGN exchange rate is currently bearish, as the euro struggles against the Nigerian naira.
Key drivers include:
- The European Central Bank's recent decision to maintain interest rates, signaling a cautious approach which may limit euro strength.
- Nigeria is facing high inflation projected at 37% in 2026, which could erode the naira's value.
- The overall economic growth in Nigeria is expected to improve slightly, which may offer some support to the naira.
In the near term, the EUR/NGN exchange rate is expected to remain within a stable range, reflecting current volatility in both currencies.
An upside risk for the euro could emerge if the ECB adopts a more aggressive interest rate approach to combat inflation. Conversely, a downside risk could arise from further geopolitical tensions impacting the Eurozone, which might weaken the euro further against the naira.