The recent forecasts for the EUR to VND exchange rate indicate a cautious outlook influenced by both European and Vietnamese economic factors. As of late December 2025, the euro is trading at approximately 30,954 VND, slightly above its three-month average of 30,668. This stability reflects a range of just 2.8% over the recent months, signifying a relatively calm trading environment.
The strength of the euro is currently being tempered by the European Central Bank's (ECB) decision to maintain interest rates amid modest growth projections. ECB President Christine Lagarde has warned that a stronger euro could negatively affect inflation, leading to a more cautious approach to monetary policy. Recent positive consumer sentiment in Germany may offer some support for the euro, but geopolitical uncertainties, particularly the ongoing war in Ukraine, continue to create volatility and hamper investor confidence.
On the other side, the Vietnamese Đồng (VND) is facing pressures as experts forecast a potential depreciation against the US dollar, with predictions suggesting a decline of about 3% in 2025. This decline is attributed to the strength of the USD and broader global economic trends. Additionally, severe flooding in Northern Vietnam has had significant economic repercussions, which could further destabilize the VND.
Market analysts also point to the influence of oil prices on currency values. The price of Brent Crude oil currently trades at around 60.89 USD, which is 3.9% below its three-month average. This fluctuation in oil prices typically impacts the euro's strength, as energy prices can affect inflation and overall economic health within the Eurozone.
Moving forward, the exchange rate between the euro and the Vietnamese đồng will likely depend on how the ECB navigates future monetary policy amidst economic uncertainties and how the VND reacts to both domestic challenges and the strength of the USD. Readers engaging in international transactions may want to monitor these developments closely, as shifts in economic indicators and geopolitical factors will continue to shape the currency landscape.
