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    Currency outlook HKD/TWD

    HKD to TWD Forecast & Outlook

    Latest HKD to TWD forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for HKD/TWD. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

    Hong Kong flag

    Date: March 31, 2026

    Key Developments Affecting the Hong Kong Dollar (HKD):

    1. Economic Growth and Budget Measures

    In February 2026, Hong Kong's Financial Secretary announced a fiscal surplus for the 2025-26 financial year, marking a significant turnaround from the previous deficit. The 2026-27 Budget focuses on economic transformation, emphasizing innovation, technology, and financial measures to enhance Hong Kong's competitiveness. (deloitte.com)

    2. Monetary Policy Alignment with the U.S. Federal Reserve

    On January 29, 2026, the Hong Kong Monetary Authority maintained its base rate at 4.0%, aligning with the U.S. Federal Reserve's decision to hold its target range at 3%–3.75%. This move underscores Hong Kong's policy alignment with the U.S. under the Linked Exchange Rate System, which pegs the HKD at 7.75–7.85. (tradingeconomics.com)

    3. Record Growth in Local Currency Bond Issuance

    In 2025, Hong Kong's local currency bond issuance reached a record HK$613 billion, up nearly 41% from the previous year. This trend is expected to continue in 2026, driven by deepened market benchmarks and sustained demand. (scmp.com)

    4. Strengthening Hong Kong's Role as an Investment Hub

    Hong Kong is positioning itself as a strategic Asia-Pacific investment hub in 2026, supported by revived capital markets, stable macroeconomic fundamentals, and deep financial liquidity. Policy and regulatory developments are reinforcing its platform economy, enabling cross-border capital flows and enhancing connectivity with global markets. (china-briefing.com)

    These developments are expected to influence the HKD's performance in the coming months.


    Taiwan flag

    March 31, 2026

    Key Developments Affecting the New Taiwan Dollar (TWD):

    1. Central Bank's Monetary Policy Decision

    On March 19, 2026, Taiwan's Central Bank maintained its policy rate, citing global economic conditions and inflation risks. (cbc.gov.tw)

    2. Stablecoin Launch Plans

    Taiwan's Financial Supervisory Commission plans to launch its first regulated stablecoin by mid-2026, potentially pegged to the TWD or USD. (coin360.com)

    3. IMF Report on US Dollar Exposure

    In January 2026, the IMF reported Taiwan's high US dollar exposure. Central Bank Governor Yang Chin-long disagreed, stating the figures were based on a misunderstanding. (taiwannews.com.tw)

    4. Life Insurer Accounting Rule Changes

    In January 2026, Taiwan's Financial Supervisory Commission approved new accounting rules for life insurers, allowing them to amortize foreign exchange gains and losses over time, potentially saving billions in hedging costs. (fxleaders.com)

    These developments may influence the TWD's exchange rate in the coming months.

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    HKD to TWD market data

    Hong Kong dollar (HKD) to New Taiwan dollar (TWD) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

    Sell HKD   →   Buy TWD
    1 HKD =
    4.1090We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
    TWD
    1D0.0%
    HKD to TWD is at 14-day lows near 4.1097, 1.0% above its 3-month average of 4.0676, having traded in a very stable 3.5% range from 3.9942 to 4.1341
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      1 TWD = 0.2434 HKD
     

    Will the Hong Kong dollar rise against the New Taiwan dollar?

    This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the Hong Kong dollar vs New Taiwan dollar current value is to look the HKD/TWD historic rate and change over a range of periods.

    The following table looks at the change in the HKD to TWD exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

    DateHKD/TWDPeriod
    25 Jul 2026
    4.1264
    2 Week
    10 May 2026
    4.0000
    3 Month
    08 Aug 2025
    3.8098
    1 Year
    09 Aug 2021
    3.5715
    5 Year
    10 Aug 2016
    4.0170
    10 Year
    13 Aug 2006
    4.1973
    20 Year
    HKD/TWD historic rates

    It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

    To help with this you can add HKD/TWD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

     
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