31 March 2026
1. Rupee Depreciation Amid Middle East Conflict
The Sri Lankan rupee has depreciated by approximately 1.3% in 2026, with pressures intensifying following the Middle East conflict. By 25 March 2026, the exchange rate reached around Rs. 314.2 per US dollar. (english.newsfirst.lk)
2. Central Bank's Foreign Exchange Purchases
The Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) has been actively purchasing foreign exchange, with net purchases totaling $700 million in the first two months of 2026. This strategy aims to bolster the country's foreign reserves. (ft.lk)
3. IMF Emergency Financial Support
In December 2025, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) approved emergency financing of approximately $206 million for Sri Lanka under the Rapid Financing Instrument. This support is intended to address urgent balance-of-payments and fiscal pressures resulting from Cyclone Ditwah. (imf.org)
4. Policy Rate Unchanged Amid Economic Growth
The CBSL maintained the Overnight Policy Rate at 7.75% in January 2026, citing firm economic growth and inflation moving towards the 5% target. Inflation remained at 2.1% in December 2025, with expectations of gradual increase by late 2026. (fibre2fashion.com)
These developments highlight the dynamic factors influencing the Sri Lankan rupee's performance in 2026.
Canadian Dollar Update
Updated 01 Aug 2026 • 23:45 GMT
The Canadian dollar has shown resilience against the US dollar, driven by fluctuating oil prices and cautious monetary policy from the Bank of Canada (BoC). As of mid-July, USD/CAD is trading around 1.4033 after stronger oil prices provided support to the loonie, despite the BoC's decision to hold its rate steady at 2.25% but keeping the possibility of future hikes open. Market sentiments are tempered by weak inflation and trade uncertainties, particularly concerning the USMCA, which are impacting near-term CAD expectations.
Key watchpoints:
- Monitor changes in global oil prices as they significantly impact the commodity-linked Canadian dollar.
- Watch for any updates or changes in monetary policy from the Bank of Canada, particularly rate hike announcements.
- Pay attention to upcoming Canadian employment and economic data releases for further insights into CAD movements.