31 March 2026
1. Hryvnia's Recent Performance
The Ukrainian hryvnia has weakened against the US dollar, reaching an all-time low of 44.25 UAH/USD in March 2026. (tradingeconomics.com)
2. National Bank's Response
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) attributes the devaluation to increased demand for foreign currency amid geopolitical uncertainties. The NBU is prepared to intervene to stabilize the forex market. (interfax.com)
3. 2026 Budget Forecasts
The 2026-2028 budget declaration projects a 4.5% GDP growth in 2026, with the hryvnia expected to average 44.7 UAH/USD for the year and end at 44.8 UAH/USD. (ukranews.com)
4. Expert Exchange Rate Predictions
Financial experts anticipate a controlled weakening of the hryvnia in 2026, with the dollar potentially reaching 45 UAH and the euro 50 UAH. (finance.liga.net)
5. NBU's Monetary Policy
The NBU continues to implement a "managed flexibility" approach, aiming to balance market expectations and price stability without allowing sharp currency fluctuations. (unn.ua)
These developments indicate that while the hryvnia faces downward pressure, the NBU is actively working to maintain stability through strategic interventions and policy measures.
EUR Weekly Market Overview
Updated 28 Jul 2026 • 23:46 GMT
The euro remains under pressure as it holds near its recent lows against the US dollar. Market participants are cautious due to geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, alongside expectations of at least one more rate hike by the US Federal Reserve before the year ends. These developments have heightened inflation concerns, further complicating the euro's recovery. Despite recent economic indicators, the Eurozone faces challenges that could keep the euro subdued in the near term.
- Key watchpoints:
- Potential Federal Reserve rate hike and its impact on the EUR/USD.
- Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East affecting market sentiment.
- Eurozone economic indicators and ECB decisions and their influence on the euro's trajectory.