31 March 2026
1. Hryvnia's Recent Performance
The Ukrainian hryvnia has weakened against the US dollar, reaching an all-time low of 44.25 UAH/USD in March 2026. (tradingeconomics.com)
2. National Bank's Response
The National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) attributes the devaluation to increased demand for foreign currency amid geopolitical uncertainties. The NBU is prepared to intervene to stabilize the forex market. (interfax.com)
3. 2026 Budget Forecasts
The 2026-2028 budget declaration projects a 4.5% GDP growth in 2026, with the hryvnia expected to average 44.7 UAH/USD for the year and end at 44.8 UAH/USD. (ukranews.com)
4. Expert Exchange Rate Predictions
Financial experts anticipate a controlled weakening of the hryvnia in 2026, with the dollar potentially reaching 45 UAH and the euro 50 UAH. (finance.liga.net)
5. NBU's Monetary Policy
The NBU continues to implement a "managed flexibility" approach, aiming to balance market expectations and price stability without allowing sharp currency fluctuations. (unn.ua)
These developments indicate that while the hryvnia faces downward pressure, the NBU is actively working to maintain stability through strategic interventions and policy measures.
Japanese Yen: Intervention Concerns Amid Persistent Weakness
Updated 01 Aug 2026 • 23:47 GMT
The Japanese Yen continues to face significant downward pressure, with the USD/JPY trading near historically high levels. Despite local authority interventions, the yen remains weak, largely due to the persistence of wide interest rate differentials between the US and Japan. Expectations for further intervention are evident, especially as the yen approaches key psychological levels against the dollar. Analysts suggest that without significant changes in energy prices or a shift in the Federal Reserve's monetary stance, interventions may only temporarily stem the yen's decline.
Key watchpoints
- Monitoring potential interventions by Japanese authorities to stabilize the yen.
- Observing US Federal Reserve policy for signs of changes that could impact rate differentials.
- Watching energy price trends, which could influence the yen's valuation amidst intervention actions.