The USD to PKR exchange rate is currently bearish.
Key drivers include:
- The anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the near term may weaken the USD relative to the PKR.
- Improving global economic conditions and rising commodity prices could lead to increased demand for the PKR.
- Fitch Ratings suggests the PKR could depreciate as economic activity strengthens, indicating mixed expectations for the currency.
The near-term trading range for USD to PKR is expected to remain stable around the recent levels, as the market adjusts to new data and fiscal policies.
Upside risk includes stronger-than-expected remittance flows supporting the PKR. A downside risk is the potential for accelerated depreciation forecasts from Fitch, which could heighten selling pressure on the PKR.