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    Australian dollar market update

     

    The Australian dollar (AUD) was negatively impacted yesterday as new labor market data revealed a rise in unemployment rates from 3.9% to 4% in December. This increase in the jobless rate, attributed primarily to a decline in full-time employment, has intensified bets on potential interest rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), significantly weighing on the AUD's performance. As the week progresses, with limited Australian economic data on the calendar, FX analysts suggest that market risk dynamics will likely play a key role in influencing the currency’s trajectory as traders position themselves for the weekend.

    Despite this recent downturn, the AUD has seen some movement against major currency pairs, with the AUD to USD hovering near 30-day highs around 0.6281, albeit still below its 3-month average of 0.6395. Similarly, the AUD to GBP is at recent highs near 0.5093, showing a slight premium over its 3-month average, while the AUD to EUR is stabilizing close to its 3-month average. However, the impending global economic environment remains uncertain, with a potential Trump presidency raising concerns over new tariffs affecting Australia’s key trading partners, particularly China. Future AUD strength may depend heavily on China's economic performance and any trade policy changes that could arise from the US administration, directing market sentiment in the weeks ahead.

    BestExchangeRates.com keeps you up-to-date on Australian dollar forecasts by collating the views of reliable FX forecasters and economists together with recent AUD price trends. This analysis covers a wide range of factors including economic indicators, geopolitical events, central bank policies, and technical analysis to provide a thorough and current outlook on currency trends.

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