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For over a decade, BestExchangeRates.com has been a trusted resource for comparing foreign exchange rates worldwide.
We make it easy to avoid hidden fees and inflated margins by comparing live rates from major banks and trusted money transfer specialists. Whether you’re sending money abroad or exchanging cash for travel, our tools highlight the cheapest and most convenient options in real time.
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News 2026-01-11
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Understanding the US Dollar: A Guide to America's Currency for Travelers and Investors
The United States dollar is the official currency of the United States of America but also is the world’s dominant reserve currency, and it accounts for roughly 62% of global foreign exchange reserves, double that of the Euro and Yen. In fact, the US Dollar has been the world’s reserve currency for over 100 years.
Currency Exchange & Travel Money: Compare Rates Worldwide
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US dollar market update
Outlook
The US dollar has steadied after a recent slide but remains vulnerable to incoming inflation data and policy expectations. The core PCE price index due today is the focal point; a firm print would push back expectations for near-term Fed rate cuts and help keep the greenback firm, while softer data could reinforce bets for earlier easing and weigh on USD. Geopolitical tensions and tariff developments add to volatility but have not sparked decisive moves yet. Oil remains elevated, which can influence euro sensitivity and risk appetite, sustaining currency-market swings around the dollar.
Key drivers
- Fed policy expectations: Markets see about one to two rate cuts toward a neutral policy rate around 3.00%–3.25% in 2026, keeping USD direction sensitive to data. (Markets)
- U.S. data: Upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls and unemployment reports will shape views on the pace of easing and the likely trajectory of policy.
- Geopolitics: U.S. airstrikes in Venezuela and related political developments add risk sentiment folds that can shift USD intra-day.
- Tariffs: Proclamation delaying tariff increases on furniture, kitchen cabinets, and vanities until January 2027 reduces near-term trade friction, but policy uncertainty remains.
- Market sentiment: The USD selloff has paused; headlines around tensions and policy signals can still trigger quick swings.
- Oil: Oil at 64.34 USD per barrel, 2.1% above the 3-month average, with a wide 12.1% trading range, can feed inflation expectations and influence EUR/USD dynamics.
BestExchangeRates.com keeps you up-to-date on US dollar forecasts by collating the views of reliable FX forecasters and economists together with recent USD price trends. This analysis covers a wide range of factors including economic indicators, geopolitical events, central bank policies, and technical analysis to provide a thorough and current outlook on currency trends.
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