Forecasts for the AUD/USD in 2020 are influenced by three factors; the coronavirus impact on economies, changes in the delta between interest rates in Australia and the US and also the trade war between China and the US.
The Australian dollar staged a rapid recovery in April but, according to TD Securities, AUD overpriced and see a drop back to 62cents in the short term.
The Aussie had been savaged in March sliding to US55 cents the lowest since 2003. Growing fears of the coronavirus outbreak moved the market into safer currencies such as the USD and away from AUD, NZD and CAD.
The virus was a double blow to the Aussie after the earlier threat of proxy war between the US and Iran in Iraq had also pared back some of the gains the Aussie had made coming into the New Year.
The Australian dollar had started the new decade strongly climbing to multi-month highs helped along by cooling trade tensions between the United States and China and optimism for global economic growth in the year ahead.
The Aussie broke back over US70 cents on the final day of 2019 — a level not seen since mid year. During December the Australian dollar reversed direction (again) and climbed steadily back up against the US dollar on the back of the strength of the housing market and a market perception that further interest rate cuts were less likely.
National Australia Bank (NAB) are predicting the AUD/USD rate to rise to 71cents by the end of 2020.
You can read more about AUD cross-rate forecasts here AUD Trends and Forecasts for 2020.
Forecasts and predictions for the AUD/USD exchange rate change all the time, affected by news events and relative sentiment towards the Australian and US economies. This continually updated article reviews AUD to USD bank forecasts and recent trends for both currencies.
This is a difficult question and the answer really depends on many factors. The best way to consider an exchange rate's relative value is to look at the rate's history.
The following table looks at the change in the AUD to USD exchange rate to the present day for periods going back upto 10 years:
|AUD/USD||Period to 29-May||Date||Rate|
|2% ▲||1 Week||22 May 2020||0.6536|
|1.7% ▲||30 Days||29 Apr 2020||0.6554|
|2.4% ▲||90 Days||29 Feb 2020||0.6509|
|3.4% ▼||1 Year||30 May 2019||0.6905|
|12.7% ▼||5 Years||31 May 2015||0.7640|
|20.2% ▼||10 Years||01 Jun 2010||0.8351|
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