The GBP to JPY exchange rate is currently ranged-bound.
Key drivers affecting this are:
- The Bank of England's recent hawkish signals suggest interest rate cuts may be paced more slowly, supporting the pound.
- The Bank of Japan raised interest rates to 0.75%, aiming to combat inflation, which strengthens the yen, although economic outlooks remain mixed.
- UK retail sales performance and Japan's improved business sentiment could influence future trends.
The near-term trading range is likely to show continued stability around current levels, maintaining the recent fluctuations.
Upside risks include stronger-than-expected UK retail sales boosting the pound, while downside risks feature broader economic challenges in the UK that could pressure the pound. Furthermore, fluctuations in oil prices could also impact the Japanese yen, as it influences trade balances.