Norwegian Krone Weekly Outlook
Updated 18 Jul 2026 • 23:49 GMT
The Norwegian krone (NOK) could be set for a potential rally against the euro, as monetary policy remains a key driver. The Norges Bank might implement another interest rate hike, possibly reaching 4.50% in August or September, which could mark the end of their current rate cycle. This move is anticipated to provide support to the krone, particularly against a backdrop where the US dollar's upside is seen as limited.
Key watchpoints:
- Monitor Norges Bank's interest rate decision in August and September for impacts on NOK.
- Assess the broader G10 currency moves as the US dollar's influence weakens.
- Evaluate the impact of Norges Bank's monetary policy as the rate cycle potentially concludes.
Canadian Dollar Update
Updated 01 Aug 2026 • 23:45 GMT
The Canadian dollar has shown resilience against the US dollar, driven by fluctuating oil prices and cautious monetary policy from the Bank of Canada (BoC). As of mid-July, USD/CAD is trading around 1.4033 after stronger oil prices provided support to the loonie, despite the BoC's decision to hold its rate steady at 2.25% but keeping the possibility of future hikes open. Market sentiments are tempered by weak inflation and trade uncertainties, particularly concerning the USMCA, which are impacting near-term CAD expectations.
Key watchpoints:
- Monitor changes in global oil prices as they significantly impact the commodity-linked Canadian dollar.
- Watch for any updates or changes in monetary policy from the Bank of Canada, particularly rate hike announcements.
- Pay attention to upcoming Canadian employment and economic data releases for further insights into CAD movements.