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USD to MXN Forecasts – US dollar to Mexican peso

Latest USD to MXN forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for USD/MXN. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

USD to MXN Forecast & Outlook

01 Jul 2026 • 00:24 GMT

USD/MXN 17.50

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🟠 Range-bound, downside bias
  • Expected range: 17.1290 – 17.6510
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: 🟢 Uptrend

Currently, USD/MXN is trading close to 17.50, slightly above its 90-day average of 17.39. The pair is consolidating within its recent range, supported by risk-off sentiment and US dollar steadiness. Near-term conditions suggest a mildly weaker bias, with the pair remaining range-bound and sensitive to shifts in risk appetite.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Mexico may find current levels slightly less favourable than recent lows.
  • Travellers: exchanging currency could face support around current rates, with limited short-term movement.
  • Businesses: paying Mexican invoices in pesos may see little change in transfer costs but should stay alert for potential shifts if risk sentiment improves.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The US Federal Reserve remains cautious, maintaining rates near current levels, influencing the dollar’s stability.
  • Risk/commodities: Ongoing geopolitical tensions and risk-off flows support the dollar and pressurize risk-sensitive currencies like the peso.
  • Global factors: US risk sentiment remains pressured by trade uncertainties and geopolitical tensions, shaping the dollar’s recent steadiness.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: Improved US-China relations could soften risk-off flows, supporting the peso.
  • Downside risk: Escalation in geopolitical tensions or Fed rate hikes may intensify US dollar strength, pressuring USD/MXN higher.

Comparing FX providers may help offset less favourable exchange conditions, reducing overall transfer costs.

 

USDMXN Bank Forecasts to end of the year

As we approach the end of the year, forecasts for the USD/MXN currency pair show mixed expectations. Bank of America maintains a bearish outlook on the Mexican peso, predicting an increase in the USD/MXN rate to 18.50. Conversely, Barclays is more optimistic, anticipating the peso will strengthen, setting a target of 17.25. These differing views highlight the uncertainty in the economic environment affecting the currency pair.

Big bank views

  • Bank of America forecasts USD/MXN at 18.50 by year-end.
  • Barclays projects a strengthening of the peso, forecasting USD/MXN at 17.25.
  • The forecasts reflect mixed views on the peso's resilience despite global economic pressures.

What could change the outlook

  • Further developments in US-Iran negotiations may impact global energy markets and influence the USD.
  • Changes in Mexico's economic policies or further credit rating adjustments could shift capital flows and impact the peso.
 

USD-MXN Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

USD to MXN Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Mexican peso (MXN) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy MXN
1 USD =
17.53We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
MXN
1d+0.2%▲
USD to MXN at 17.50 is just 0.6% above its 3-month average of 17.39, having traded in a quite stable 4.2% range from 17.17 to 17.89
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  1 MXN = 0.057049 USD

Compare & Save - US dollar to Mexican peso

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Mexican peso (MXN) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to MXN calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Peso currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Mexican peso?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Mexican peso current value is to look the USD/MXN historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to MXN exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/MXNChangePeriod
17 Jun 2026
17.30
1.3% ▲2 Week
02 Apr 2026
17.85
1.8% ▼3 Month
01 Jul 2025
18.74
6.5% ▼1 Year
02 Jul 2021
19.77
11.3% ▼5 Year
03 Jul 2016
18.36
4.5% ▼10 Year
06 Jul 2006
11.10
57.9% ▲20 Year
USD/MXN historic rates & change to 01-Jul-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/MXN to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more