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British Pound Sterling (GBP)

By some margin, the pound was the worst-performing major currency in the second quarter. It slipped in late June to multi-month lows against a number of important currencies, including the Australian dollar, New Zealand dollar, euro, Canadian dollar and Swiss franc.

Pound valuations will continue to fluctuate based on No-deal, Deal and Remain probabilities. No-deal prospects may increase if, as is widely expected, ardent Brexiteer Boris Johnson becomes the UK’s next prime minister. However, some banks argue that Johnson’s appointment would make little difference to no-deal or remain probabilities.

The pound is unlikely to receive much in the way of meaningful respite until November, analysts say, when hopefully the UK-EU Brexit arrangement, or lack thereof, is known (Boris Johnson insists that the UK will not seek any further Article 50 extensions beyond the October-31 deadline).

The pound would be doing far worse if it weren't receiving some support from the Bank of England which, surprisingly, is the only major central bank still considering higher interest rates in 2019.

Read more in the article GBP Forecasts.

Turkish Lira (TRY)

In the second half of April, the lira slipped to its weakest level in 6 months against the dollar, at ₺5.83. It was 11.5 percent lower than its strongest level from January, but was 21.5 percent higher than its 2018 low (2018 was a crisis year for the lira).

In April, Turkey described a reform package aimed at lifting the economy out of recession. The package included billions injected into banks, reduced tax exemptions, lower corporate tax rates and a crackdown on the shadow economy; however, ratings agencies did not see many positives in the plans due to inadequate details.

TradingEconomics.com sees the lira quoted 5 percent weaker against the dollar in April 2020, at ₺6.14.

The mid-rate is the rate you will see quoted online or the news. It is actually just the half-way point (hence mid-rate) between the last rate at which the GBP / TRY was traded (bought or sold) in the international markets.

All foreign exchange providers charge a fee for providing their service and this fee is usually contained within the exchange rate margin (or difference to the mid-rate). Some providers such as Transferwise will quote you the mid-rate (or close to) and charge a separate percentage fee.