This is the current AUD-JPY mid-market exchange rate. The Total Cost of buying foreign currency in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market AUD-JPY exchange rate.
Whenever you are researching a particular exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies as the value of a currency must always be quoted relative to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the AUD vs JPY, you should pay attention to both Australian Dollar and Japanese Yen news and forecasts.
11-January-19: The Australian dollar recovered strongly following a "flash crash" in early January which saw it briefly trade at a 10-year low of 67.4 US cents.
By the time of this report, AUD/USD was back above $0.72 and roughly in line with December’s median exchange rate. The Aussie was similarly strong against other major currencies following its mini crash.
At current levels the Aussie “is very undervalued” versus the US dollar, a CIBC analyst said in late December; it was his “best bet” for 2019. The analyst’s view was based upon there being a positive resolution to the US-China trade spat. In the second half of 2019, the Aussie could be quoted as high as $0.78, the analyst said — 8 percent higher than rates at the time of writing.
For AUD/NZD, TD Securities expects near-term appreciation from NZ$1.05 to NZ$1.1.
Against other major currencies, the Aussie’s outlook is less optimistic. In recent months, investors have become increasingly certain that no increase to Australian interest rates will be seen until 2020. Inaction on interest rates will force capital away from Australia and towards countries where rates are higher or are expected to increase.
31-December-18: The yen was the best performing major currency of 2018. As 2019 rolled in, the Japanese currency touched a 6-month high against the dollar and a 4-month high against the euro. USD/JPY and EUR/JPY fell to respective rates of 109.7 and 125.5, marking yen strength for the year worth 2.7 percent and 7.6 percent.
In December, the yen — the FX world’s preferred safe haven — benefitted strongly from a notable switch to risk-off trading. Stock markets were volatile and falling hard and the prospect of further trade tensions and higher interest rates in 2019 unnerved investors.
Analysts appeared to agree in December that the yen would strengthen throughout 2019 and beyond.
The median estimate of economists polled by Bloomberg in December indicated USD/JPY would fall to 105 by the end of 2019. Experts at Mizuho, Citibank and Commerzbank saw the yen strengthening even further, to 100 or stronger. USD/JPY hasn’t traded at the symbolic 100 level since August 2016.
Yen strength will be driven by tighter Japanese monetary policy, experts said, and by a slower pace of policy tightening in the US. The US-Japanese interest rate differential will narrow.
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