The USD to JPY exchange rate is currently range-bound.
Key drivers include:
- The Federal Reserve is expected to implement rate cuts, which may weaken the USD in the coming months.
- Improved business sentiment in Japan supports the possibility of future rate hikes by the Bank of Japan.
- Japan's inflation remains above target, prompting the BOJ's recent rate increase.
In the near term, expect a trading range around the current price, influenced by U.S. Treasury yields and Japan's monetary policy response.
Upside risks could arise if U.S. economic growth surprises positively, while downside risks could come from intervention measures by the Japanese government to tackle yen weakness. Additionally, fluctuations in oil prices may have an indirect effect on the yen's strength.