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USD to JPY 2026 Forecasts

Analysis of recent dollar → yen forecasts for 2026. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to Japanese yen performance and trends.

 

USD/JPY Outlook: Bearish, as the exchange rate is below its recent average and near recent lows, influenced by multiple factors.

Key drivers:

• Rate gap: The Federal Reserve is likely to continue cutting rates, while the Bank of Japan is tightening its monetary policy, widening the gap between the two currencies.

• Risk/commodities: Oil prices are trading at recent highs, which could strengthen the yen due to Japan's import reliance, adversely affecting the USD.

• One macro factor: Concerns surrounding US fiscal policy, including potential government shutdowns and reduction in USD assets, are placing additional pressure on the dollar.

Range: The USD/JPY pair is expected to drift within its recent range, staying under pressure due to ongoing economic concerns.

What could change it:

• Upside risk: A surprising hawkish shift from the Federal Reserve could boost the USD.

• Downside risk: Increased speculation of Japanese authorities intervening to curb yen appreciation could exacerbate the dollar's decline.

USD-JPY Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

USD to JPY Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Japanese yen (JPY) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy JPY
1 USD =
153.06We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
JPY
1d+0.5%▲
 
USD to JPY at 153.1 is 1.8% below its 3-month average of 155.9, having traded in a quite stable 4.5% range from 152.3 to 159.1
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Compare & Save - US dollar to Japanese yen

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Japanese yen (JPY) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to JPY calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Yen currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Japanese yen?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Japanese yen current value is to look the USD/JPY historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to JPY exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/JPY to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more