Forecasts for the AUD/USD in 2020 are influenced by three factors; the coronavirus impact on economies, changes in the delta between interest rates in Australia and the US and also the trade war between China and the US.
Australian dollar to US dollar bank forecasts
Westpac have raised their forecast for the Aussie dollar to US 72 cents by the end of 2020 (from US 68 cents) and rising to US 76 cents in 2021.
In the second quarter of 2020 AUD staged a rapid recovery through the months of April, May and into June up 25% from its mid-March lows to US70c in early June. This is due more to the perceived benefits to Australia of an awakening post-pandemic Chinese economy than the political-social situtation in the US dpressing the USD.
The Aussie had been savaged in March sliding to US55 cents the lowest since 2003. Growing fears of the coronavirus outbreak moved the market into safer currencies such as the USD and away from AUD, NZD and CAD.
The virus was a double blow to the Aussie after the earlier threat of proxy war between the US and Iran in Iraq had also pared back some of the gains the Aussie had made coming into the New Year.
The Australian dollar had started the new decade strongly climbing to multi-month highs helped along by cooling trade tensions between the United States and China and optimism for global economic growth in the year ahead.
The Aussie broke back over US70 cents on the final day of 2019 — a level not seen since mid year. During December the Australian dollar reversed direction (again) and climbed steadily back up against the US dollar on the back of the strength of the housing market and a market perception that further interest rate cuts were less likely.
National Australia Bank (NAB) are predicting the AUD/USD rate to rise to 71cents by the end of 2020.
AUD/EUR at 0.6118 was trading 2.3% aboveAVG:0.5979 with LO:0.5531 and HI:0.6216 (90 days). ALERT: Today AUD/EUR is DOWN 0.5%
Forecasts and predictions for the AUD/USD exchange rate change all the time, affected by news events and relative sentiment towards the Australian and US economies. This continually updated article reviews AUD to USD bank forecasts and recent trends for both currencies.
What is a good AUD to USD exchange rate?
This is a difficult question and the answer really depends on many factors. The best way to consider an exchange rate's relative value is to look at the rate's history.
The following table looks at the change in the AUD to USD exchange rate to the present day for periods going back upto 10 years:
03 Jul 2020 : 0.6945
10 Jun 2020 : 0.6968
11 Apr 2020 : 0.6349
11 Jul 2019 : 0.6972
12 Jul 2015 : 0.7430
13 Jul 2010 : 0.8801
AUD/USD 10 year historic rates & changes to 10-Jul-2020 : 0.6950
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