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AUD to USD Forecasts – Australian dollar to US dollar

Latest AUD to USD forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for AUD/USD. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

AUD to USD Forecast & Outlook

16 Jul 2026 • 00:27 GMT

AUD/USD 0.7008

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 0.7010 – 0.7260
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: ⚪ Range-bound

Currently, AUD/USD is trading close to its 14-day high near 0.7008, but still below its 3-month average of 0.7083. The pair remains supported by risk-off conditions and global risk sentiment, but is pressured by the bond yield differential and the hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. Over the next few sessions, the pair may face pressure if risk aversion persists, keeping it within its recent range as the near-term bias points to a weaker Australian dollar.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to the US may find conditions slightly less favourable than recent levels.
  • Travellers: buying US Dollars may face a marginally weaker Australian dollar exchange rate.
  • Businesses: paying US dollar invoices from Australia could see a less advantageous rate if the pair declines further.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The Fed's hawkish stance supports the USD, widening the yield gap against Australia.
  • Risk/commodities: Global risk-off flows are supported by geopolitical tensions and dollar strength, pressuring risk-sensitive currencies like AUD.
  • Global factors: US economic data and Federal Reserve signals are key factors influencing the pair's near-term movement.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A shift in global risk appetite or calming geopolitical tensions could reduce risk aversion, supporting the AUD.
  • Downside risk: Further USD gains from aggressive Fed tightening or global risk aversion could deepen AUD weakness.

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AUDUSD Bank Forecasts to end of the year

The AUD/USD outlook to the end of the year reveals a mixed perspective among major banks. OCBC has expressed a bullish stance, raising its forecast to 0.73 due to expected hawkishness. In contrast, J.P. Morgan anticipates a more subdued range of 0.66–0.70, while NAB projects a close of around 0.70, considering the RBA's stance on inflation. These forecasts suggest a generally optimistic view for the AUD, though tempered by potential volatility.

Big bank views

  • OCBC forecasts AUD/USD at 0.73 by end-2026, revised from 0.69.
  • J.P. Morgan Private Bank expects a range of 0.66–0.70 over 6–12 months.
  • NAB anticipates the AUD/USD to be near 0.70 by year-end.

What could change the outlook

  • Any shifts in the Federal Reserve's interest rate policy could impact USD strength, thereby influencing the AUD/USD pair.
  • Developments in global equity markets, particularly the tech sector, might alter investor sentiment towards the AUD.
 

AUD-USD Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

AUD to USD Market Data

Australian dollar (AUD) to US dollar (USD) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell AUD   →   Buy USD
1 AUD =
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USD
1d+0.5%▲
AUD to USD is at 14-day highs near 0.7008, 1.1% below its 3-month average of 0.7083, having traded in a quite stable 5.4% range from 0.6887 to 0.7258
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  1 USD = 1.4270 AUD

Compare & Save - Australian dollar to US dollar

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare Australian dollar (AUD) to US dollar (USD) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our AUD to USD calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Aussie to Dollar currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the Australian dollar rise against the US dollar?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the Australian dollar vs US dollar current value is to look the AUD/USD historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the AUD to USD exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateAUD/USDChangePeriod
02 Jul 2026
0.6916
1.2% ▲2 Week
17 Apr 2026
0.7175
2.5% ▼3 Month
16 Jul 2025
0.6522
7.3% ▲1 Year
17 Jul 2021
0.7399
5.4% ▼5 Year
18 Jul 2016
0.7572
7.6% ▼10 Year
21 Jul 2006
0.7529
7% ▼20 Year
AUD/USD historic rates & change to 16-Jul-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add AUD/USD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

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Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more