This is the current CAD-EUR mid-market exchange rate. The Total Cost of buying foreign currency in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market CAD-EUR exchange rate.
Whenever you are researching a particular exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies as the value of a currency must always be quoted relative to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the CAD vs EUR, you should pay attention to both Canadian Dollar and Euro news and forecasts.
7-February-19: January was a fantastic month for the Canadian dollar. A gain of 4 percent relative to the US dollar took USD/CAD away from 19-month highs near C$1.365 into the low C$1.31s.
A recovery in the oil market has played a big part in the loonie’s 2019 recovery. By the time of this report, oil had gained nearly $12 per barrel, or 23 percent, on 2018 lows. The price of oil remains vital to Canada’s economy; it had fallen by as much as 40 percent in the October-December period.
Going forward, risks to the Canadian dollar include, of course, oil, and the return of global trade tensions.
Towards the end of 2018, Goldman Sachs predicted a strong energy market rebound in 2019 — more so than has already been realised — and this would underpin Canada’s currency.
In February, Westpac reaffirmed its view that the Canadian dollar would be an outperformer in 2019. Canada’s growth picture is more secure than those of the eurozone, UK or Australia, Westpac believes, and as a result, the Bank of Canada will be more hawkish this year relative to other G10 central banks, driving CAD appreciation.
13-February-19: 2018 was a mixed year for the euro. A 5 percent loss versus the US dollar was offset by a 6 percent gain versus the Australian dollar and small gains against other majors.
Since November, the euro has been remarkably stable against the US dollar, against which it has traded for the most part between $1.125 and $1.15. The euro was quoted towards the low of this range at $1.128 at the time of writing, down 1.5 percent year-to-date.
At the time of writing, euro-pound was 2.5 percent lower on the year at £0.876. Most price action since September has been between £0.865 and £0.91.
The euro is understandably under pressure in early 2019 ahead of Brexit, which more than ever is a source of uncertainty, and on increasing recession risks — Italy slid into recession in February and Germany barely escaped one in the October-December period.
The main euro-supporting factor this year would be an interest rate hike by the ECB, although this is up in the air considering the aforementioned risks.
Forecasts: In February, the head of strategy at BMO Capital Markets predicted a decline in EUR/USD to 1.11 by the end of April. Experts at Natwest predicted a slide in EUR/GBP to £0.85 by mid-year.
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