The CAD to EUR exchange rate currently exhibits a slight bullish bias, trading near 90-day highs.
Key drivers influencing this trend include:
- The recent job gains in Canada, with a robust report showing a significant uptick in employment, which enhances confidence in the CAD.
- A firm CAD interest rate from the Bank of Canada at 2.25%, creating a favorable interest rate differential compared to the Eurozone.
- The steady macroeconomic outlook for the Eurozone, with a projected GDP growth supporting the EUR's stability.
In the near term, the CAD/EUR rate is expected to trade within a range with marginal upward potential given recent momentum.
Upside risks could emerge from rising oil prices, which would bolster the CAD given Canada’s status as a major oil exporter. Conversely, a significant decline in global risk sentiment or adverse economic news from the Eurozone could exert downward pressure on the CAD against the EUR.