Pound Sterling - Hong Kong Dollar Forecasting
When determining the best time to make a foreign exchange transaction, in this case the GBP vs HKD, you should pay attention to the recent market trends for both currencies.
Pound Sterling (GBP)
In the 2nd half of August market analysts started forecasting risk to the downside for the pound from US 1.33 given the tight 7 week deadline for Brexit combined with the drop in domestic demand due to the pandemic.
US dollar weakness has helped the embattled pound continue its recovery off June and early July lows. Despite this brief upturn, the outlook remains pessimistic as Brexit uncertainty and questions over the economy’s ability to rebound after the pandemic weigh on the currency.
In late July pound sterling is heading back towards US1.30 due to US dollar weakness. This is a remarkable change of fortunes for GBP which was sold-off after the Brexit vote and again after the virus forced a lockdown in London, the world’s largest foreign-exchange centre. Against the dollar, sterling touched the lowest level in 35 years (below US1.16) in March as traders sought the safety of the USD.
The coronavirus pandemic has replaced Brexit in the headlines and means that the deadline for a trade deal with the Eurozone this year could either be pushed back, delaying a risk for the currency, or see more favorable terms given to the U.K.
Read more in the article GBP Forecasts.
Hong Kong Dollar (HKD)
Earlier in the year the threat of proxy war between the US and Iran in Ira helped bring on gains in the Japanese yen and US dollar plus currencies pegged to the greenback such as the Hong Kong dollar.
Since April 2020, authorities have intervened multiple times to prevent the currency from strengthening past its permitted trading maximum with the U.S. dollar USD/HKD = 7.75, more interventions are to be expected if the Hong Kong dollar continues to hit the strong end of its trading band.
ANZ Bank see the Hong Kong dollar’s strength persisting for a long period of time.
Read more in the article HKD Forecasts.