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GBP to USD 2025 Forecasts

Analysis of recent sterling → dollar forecasts for 2025. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest British pound to US dollar performance and trends.

 

The recent fluctuations in the GBP to USD exchange rate and the respective forecasts reveal a complex interplay of factors influencing both currencies. As of the latest data, GBP trades at 1.3413, close to its three-month average. Analysts point out that the pound has shown a relatively stable range of 4.3%, with movements between 1.3176 and 1.3746.

Recent economic reports indicate that the GBP gained momentum despite mixed UK jobs data, which highlighted a rise in unemployment and slowing wage growth. However, a significant revision of May's payroll figures positively influenced market sentiment, reducing expectations for dovish rate cuts from the Bank of England (BoE). Forecasters suggest that this could help the pound maintain its strength in the short term.

Conversely, the USD has been supported by positive developments, including strong retail sales figures and a recovery following market concerns about the Federal Reserve's leadership under Jerome Powell. The latest forecasts emphasize that if the consumer sentiment index from the University of Michigan reflects continued improvement, the dollar could bolster its performance, particularly against a backdrop of mixed global trading conditions.

Trade relations have also played a crucial role, particularly given the new tariffs imposed by the US on UK goods. This development might exert downward pressure on the GBP, influencing its trajectory amidst a challenging trade environment. Analysts assert that the GBP's future will be closely tied to the UK's economic recovery and the BoE's monetary policy responses, while the USD remains influenced by Federal Reserve actions, inflation trends, and global risk sentiment.

In summary, the GBP to USD exchange rate is being shaped by a mix of domestic economic indicators, geopolitical developments, and broader market trends. Stakeholders should remain attuned to how these factors may evolve, as they will likely impact exchange rates and international transaction costs moving forward.

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GBP to USD Market Data

British pound (GBP) to US dollar (USD) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
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GBP to USD at 1.3413 is just below its 3-month average, having traded in a quite stable 4.3% range from 1.3176 to 1.3746
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Compare & Save - British pound to US dollar

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare British pound (GBP) to US dollar (USD) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our GBP to USD calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Sterling to Dollar currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the British pound rise against the US dollar?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the British pound vs US dollar current value is to look the GBP/USD historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the GBP to USD exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateGBP/USDChangePeriod
04 Jul 2025
1.3656
1.6% 2 Week
19 Apr 2025
1.3265
1.3% 3 Month
18 Jul 2024
1.2949
3.7% 1 Year
19 Jul 2020
1.2571
6.9% 5 Year
21 Jul 2015
1.5557
13.6% 10 Year
23 Jul 2005
1.7421
22.9% 20 Year
GBP/USD historic rates & change to 18-Jul-2025

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add GBP/USD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more