GBP/USD Outlook:
The GBP/USD pair is slightly softer and likely to move sideways, given its position below the recent average and near recent lows. Political uncertainties in the UK are creating hesitation among traders.
Key drivers:
• Rate gap: The Bank of England (BoE) is perceived to have a more dovish stance compared to the Federal Reserve, which is keeping USD stronger.
• Risk/commodities: Recent oil price fluctuations are not impacting GBP/USD directly, but heightened volatility can create caution in markets.
• One macro factor: Attention is on the upcoming US ISM manufacturing PMI report, which could strengthen the USD if it shows continued economic momentum.
Range:
Expect GBP/USD to drift within its recent range, given it remains near the lower end of that spectrum.
What could change it:
• Upside risk: A surprising shift in the BoE's policy outlook could boost the pound.
• Downside risk: Continued political turmoil in the UK may exert additional downward pressure on GBP.