This is the current GBP-TRY mid-market exchange rate. The Total Cost of buying foreign currency in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market GBP-TRY exchange rate.
Whenever you are researching a particular exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies as the value of a currency must always be quoted relative to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the GBP vs TRY, you should pay attention to both British Pound Sterling and Turkish Lira news and forecasts.
20-February-19: Given Brexit uncertainties, 2018 wasn’t too bad of a year for the pound. Although it lost 7.5 percent of its value against the US dollar, it only lost 1.9 percent against the euro and gained nearly 3 percent against the Australian dollar.
In early 2019, the pound has been resilient, having gained several percent against most of the other G10 currencies despite UK politics being in a state of disarray and with all Brexit options still on the table. Sterling remains well down when compared with its recent history though: at the time of writing, against the US dollar it was 12 percent lower than levels prior to the UK’s EU referendum in June 2016.
Pound forecasts are futile given uncertainties over Brexit but estimates can be made for different outcomes. Currency analysts at HSBC said in February that sterling would be valued at levels near US$1.10 in the event of no-deal, near US$1.45 with a deal and at US$1.55 should Article 50 be revoked and Brexit cancelled. GBP/USD was quoted at US$1.305 at the time of this report.
12-February-2019: The lira has been remarkably stable since December, having floated between 5.15 and 5.55 per dollar, with a few brief exceptions.
Though the lira is considerably stronger than its August ’18 extreme, it is still worth nearly 30 percent less than it was a year ago. In mid-2018, the lira weakened beyond 7 to the dollar (a record low), shocking investors.
From here on in, the lira stands to appreciate, or will at least be among the best performing emerging market currencies of 2019, says an analyst at ING. The analyst said in February that the lira was “the most undervalued in the whole emerging market space.”
With the US Federal Reserve now likely to slow the pace of its interest rate hikes, or stop them, the dollar is forecast to weaken, and emerging market currencies typically gain value in such conditions because their respective governments usually hold high levels of dollar-denominated debt, which becomes easier to repay when dollars are cheaper.
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