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USD to TRY 2025 Forecasts

Analysis of recent dollar → lira forecasts for 2025. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest US dollar to Turkish lira performance and trends.

 

Forecasts for USD to TRY

 

The USD to TRY exchange rate is currently facing notable pressures, particularly following recent economic and political developments. The US dollar (USD) experienced a significant decline, plunging to a three-year low. Analysts attribute this drop largely to concerns surrounding the Trump administration's tariff policies, which threaten to impact the US economy adversely. Additionally, higher-than-expected jobless claims and softer factory-gate inflation have fueled expectations of a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve in July, further weakening the dollar's position.

As of the latest data, the USD/TRY exchange rate stands at 39.39, which is 2.5% above its three-month average of 38.44. This figure indicates a relatively stable trading range, oscillating between 36.63 and 39.42 over the past few months. Nevertheless, ongoing fluctuations highlight the volatility driven by various factors, including monetary policy expectations and shifts in investor sentiment.

On the Turkish lira (TRY) side, recent events have contributed to its decline against the dollar. The imposition of a 10% reciprocal tariff on Turkish goods has exacerbated existing economic vulnerabilities in Turkey, coinciding with domestic political unrest following the arrest of Istanbul's mayor, Ekrem İmamoğlu. Analysts warn that this political climate raises concerns regarding President Erdoğan's dedication to rule-of-law reforms and may deter investor confidence in Turkey's economy. As a result, the lira hit a record low against the dollar, underscoring the fragility of Turkey's financial situation amidst these developments.

Overall, forecasters suggest that the future trajectory of the USD/TRY exchange rate will largely depend on the relative strength of US economic indicators, Federal Reserve actions, and the political stability in Turkey. Market sentiment will continue to play a critical role in determining the lira's performance as investors weigh risks associated with both the American and Turkish economies.

USD-TRY Rate Calculator

 
   
   
   
   
 
   
 
 

USD to TRY Market Data

US dollar (USD) to Turkish lira (TRY) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell USD   →   Buy TRY
1 USD =
39.39We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
TRY
+0.1%
90d-highs
USD to TRY at 39.39 is 2.5% above its 3-month average of 38.44, having traded in a relatively stable 7.6% range from 36.63 to 39.42
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Compare & Save - US dollar to Turkish lira

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare US dollar (USD) to Turkish lira (TRY) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our USD to TRY calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Dollar to Lira currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the US dollar rise against the Turkish lira?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the US dollar vs Turkish lira current value is to look the USD/TRY historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the USD to TRY exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateUSD/TRYChangePeriod
30 May 2025
39.20
0.6% 2 Week
15 Mar 2025
36.63
7.6% 3 Month
13 Jun 2024
32.50
21.3% 1 Year
14 Jun 2020
6.8183
478.3% 5 Year
16 Jun 2015
2.7331
1342.7% 10 Year
18 Jun 2005
1.3590
2801.4% 20 Year
USD/TRY historic rates & change to 13-Jun-2025

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add USD/TRY to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more