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    Turkish lira (TRY) market outlook and exchange rates

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    TRY Market Update

    15 Aug 2026 • 01:31 GMT

    TRY/USD 0.020885

    The Turkish lira (TRY) remains near its 90-day lows against the US dollar, trading close to 0.020885. This marks a roughly 2.5% decline from its three-month average of 0.02142. The lira has kept within a stable range, showing limited volatility over recent weeks.

    This relative weakness comes amid broader US dollar strength driven by rising expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes and strong US economic data. Despite Turkey’s recent monetary tightening and fiscal efforts to stabilize inflation, the TRY continues to face downward pressure.

    The broader environment features a relatively stable US dollar, supported by geopolitical developments in the Middle East and energy market trends. However, the TRY's decline underscores ongoing challenges for the Turkish economy, including inflation pressures and external uncertainties.

    For now, the TRY remains within its recent trading band but at lower levels, with any shifts largely influenced by US dollar movements and global risk sentiment. Watch for developments in US monetary policy and Turkish economic updates, which could impact the TRY’s trajectory in the coming weeks.

    Forecast snapshot

    Quick TRY/USD forecast

    Near-term bias🔴 Mild downside
    Expected range0.0210 – 0.0210
    Dominant driver🌍 Global risk sentiment
    3-month trend🔴 Downtrend

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    Rate direction

    US dollar to Turkish lira · USD/TRY trend

    Review the recent market direction, current mid-market rate and significant movement alerts.

    USD to TRY is at 90-day highs near 47.88, 2.5% above its 3-month average of 46.7, having traded in a quite stable 5.2% range from 45.52 to 47.88
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