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    Turkish lira (TRY) market outlook and exchange rates

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    TRY Market Update

    08 Aug 2026 • 01:29 GMT

    TRY/USD 0.020965

    The Turkish Lira (TRY) has traded at its weakest against the US dollar in the past 90 days, with the USD/TRY near 0.02097. This is about 2.5% below its three-month average of 0.02150, indicating some recent softness in the TRY. Despite active monetary measures by the Central Bank of Türkiye, including a significant interest rate hike to 45% and new reserve requirements, the lira remains under pressure.

    Market participants continue to monitor Turkey's efforts to control inflation and stabilize the economy. Meanwhile, the USD has been supported by global energy and geopolitical tensions, helping it maintain strength. Barclays' forecast suggests the USD/TRY could reach around 50.25 by the end of 2026, reflecting expectations of ongoing TRY depreciation.

    In the foreign exchange market, the TRY has weakened versus multiple major currencies, including the euro, where the TRY/EUR rate is also near 90-day lows. Overall, the Turkish lira remains in a cautious phase amid a backdrop of active policy efforts and global economic dynamics.

    Forecast snapshot

    Quick TRY/USD forecast

    Near-term bias🔴 Mild downside
    Expected range0.0210 – 0.0210
    Dominant driver🌍 Global risk sentiment
    3-month trend🔴 Downtrend

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    Rate direction

    US dollar to Turkish lira · USD/TRY trend

    Review the recent market direction, current mid-market rate and significant movement alerts.

    USD to TRY is at 90-day highs near 47.70, 2.6% above its 3-month average of 46.51, having traded in a quite stable 5.2% range from 45.35 to 47.70
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