Analysis of recent Bitcoin → dollar forecasts for 2025. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest Bitcoin to US dollar performance and trends.
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Forecasts for BTC to USD
Analysts are closely monitoring the impact of the recently passed Genius Act on the BTC/USD exchange rate. The legislation, which legitimizes and regulates stablecoins, is seen as a significant step forward for the crypto industry, with expectations for swift Presidential endorsement. However, some regulatory concerns remain, particularly from Federal Reserve officials regarding the reserve requirements for stablecoins.
In parallel, the U.S. dollar has shown relative stability following strong inflation data, especially the core PCE price index, which exceeded market expectations. There is cautious sentiment in the market as the upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll report may influence future Federal Reserve rate decisions. A slowdown in labor market growth could lead to market speculation about a rate cut in September, potentially affecting the dollar's strength and indirectly influencing the BTC/USD pairing.
The U.S. dollar's position as the world’s dominant reserve currency continues to underpin its value. Factors such as monetary policy, inflation trends, and geopolitical events play crucial roles in determining the dollar's strength. Given the ongoing uncertainties in global markets—ranging from economic volatility to geopolitical tensions—the dollar's safe-haven qualities may attract renewed investor interest.
Recent data shows that BTC to USD is trading at 14-day lows around 115,718, representing a notable 6.8% increase from its three-month average of 108,437. However, it remains within a volatile 27.7% range, highlighting the significant fluctuations in sentiment surrounding cryptocurrencies amid regulatory developments and broader economic trends.
In summary, while optimism surrounds the crypto regulatory environment, the interplay of U.S. economic data and Federal Reserve actions will be pivotal in shaping both the dollar’s performance and the BTC/USD exchange rate in the near future. Market participants should remain vigilant as these factors unfold.
115,970We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
USD
▼-1.1%
14d-lows
BTC to USD is at 14-day lows near 115718, 6.8% above its 3-month average of 108437, having traded in a highly volatile 27.7% range from 94245 to 120350
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Date
BTC/USD
Change
Period
18 Jul 2025
118005.50
2% ▼
2 Week
03 May 2025
95910.16
20.6% ▲
3 Month
01 Aug 2024
65319.03
77.1% ▲
1 Year
02 Aug 2020
11075.88
944.2% ▲
5 Year
04 Aug 2015
284.46
40558.5% ▲
10 Year
BTC/USD historic rates & change to 01-Aug-2025
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Will the Bitcoin rise against the US dollar?
It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.
To help with this you can add BTC/USD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.
Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more