Analysis of recent Bitcoin → dollar forecasts for 2026. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest Bitcoin to US dollar performance and trends.
This shift is driven by a combination of factors. Firstly, the anticipated interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are likely to weaken the USD, affecting Bitcoin's status as an alternative asset. Secondly, the recent drop in Bitcoin's price, influenced by market uncertainties and profit-taking, has highlighted its volatility. Additionally, the establishment of a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve may support Bitcoin's long-term value, while regulatory developments in the UK add a layer of complexity to the market.
In the near term, Bitcoin is expected to trade within a volatile range, highlighting recent fluctuations between significant highs and lows. An upside risk could emerge if institutional adoption, like JPMorgan's potential crypto services, gains traction. Conversely, a downside risk could stem from negative regulatory impacts or further market sell-offs, which may deepen the current bearish trend.
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Date
BTC/USD
Change
Period
18 Dec 2025
85477.79
2.6% ▲
2 Week
03 Oct 2025
122285.54
28.3% ▼
3 Month
01 Jan 2025
94390.04
7.1% ▼
1 Year
02 Jan 2021
32191.54
172.5% ▲
5 Year
04 Jan 2016
435.00
20062.8% ▲
10 Year
BTC/USD historic rates & change to 01-Jan-2026
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Will the Bitcoin rise against the US dollar?
It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.
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Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more
The current market bias for the BTC to USD exchange rate leans bearish. 
