Analysis of recent Bitcoin → dollar forecasts for 2026. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest Bitcoin to US dollar performance and trends.
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Forecasts for BTC to USD
The BTC to USD market is currently range-bound, showing significant volatility.
Key drivers include the interest rate differential, where expectations of further rate cuts from the Federal Reserve may weaken the USD. Institutional adoption signals, like JPMorgan Chase considering crypto services, are supporting Bitcoin demand. Additionally, the recent establishment of a U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve aims to enhance Bitcoin's status, potentially boosting its value.
In the near term, expect BTC to trade within a fluctuating range, influenced by ongoing volatility in both Bitcoin and USD markets.
An upside risk could come from increased institutional interest in cryptocurrencies, driving prices higher. Conversely, a downside risk is the potential for further Federal Reserve rate cuts, which may dampen investor sentiment in both the USD and Bitcoin. Recent data shows BTC underperforming at approximately 11.3% below its three-month average, hinting at ongoing price pressures amidst these developments.
Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare
Bitcoin (BTC) to US dollar (USD) rates from different sources before making a conversion.
Use our
BTC to USD calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers.
makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Bitcoin to Dollar currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.
Date
BTC/USD
Change
Period
17 Dec 2025
86143.91
2.6% ▲
2 Week
02 Oct 2025
120675.28
26.8% ▼
3 Month
31 Dec 2024
93372.65
5.4% ▼
1 Year
01 Jan 2021
29353.25
201% ▲
5 Year
03 Jan 2016
428.96
20495.1% ▲
10 Year
BTC/USD historic rates & change to 31-Dec-2025
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Will the Bitcoin rise against the US dollar?
It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.
To help with this you can add BTC/USD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.
Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more
The BTC to USD market is currently range-bound, showing significant volatility. 
