Analysis of recent Bitcoin → dollar forecasts for 2026. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest Bitcoin to US dollar performance and trends.
`
Forecasts for BTC to USD
The current market bias for BTC to USD is bearish.
Key drivers include the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cuts, which could weaken the dollar and impact Bitcoin's valuation. Additionally, profit-taking and market uncertainties have led to Bitcoin's recent volatility, as demonstrated by a sharp decline from highs. Institutional adoption of cryptocurrency and strong regulatory proposals in the UK may boost confidence in Bitcoin as a long-term asset.
The expected near-term trading range for BTC to USD could see fluctuations as the market stabilizes after recent volatility. Bitcoin recently fell to approximately 91,258, significantly below its three-month average of around 96,981.
An upside risk for Bitcoin includes increased institutional adoption, such as JPMorgan considering crypto services. A downside risk lies in the potential ongoing dollar strength if Fed rate cuts are viewed negatively, further affecting Bitcoin's value.
Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare
Bitcoin (BTC) to US dollar (USD) rates from different sources before making a conversion.
Use our
BTC to USD calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers.
makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Bitcoin to Dollar currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.
Date
BTC/USD
Change
Period
25 Dec 2025
87228.14
3.9% ▲
2 Week
10 Oct 2025
113085.00
19.8% ▼
3 Month
08 Jan 2025
95046.89
4.6% ▼
1 Year
09 Jan 2021
40129.10
125.9% ▲
5 Year
11 Jan 2016
448.42
20114% ▲
10 Year
BTC/USD historic rates & change to 08-Jan-2026
`
Will the Bitcoin rise against the US dollar?
It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.
To help with this you can add BTC/USD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.
Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more
The current market bias for BTC to USD is bearish. 
