Analysis of recent Bitcoin → dollar forecasts for 2025. We collate forecasts from respected FX analysts together with the latest Bitcoin to US dollar performance and trends.
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Forecasts for BTC to USD
Recent forecasts for the BTC to USD exchange rate indicate a significant downturn following political and economic developments in the United States. Analysts report that the price of Bitcoin plummeted sharply after former President Donald Trump announced a series of tariffs on US trading partners, leading to substantial losses across global cryptocurrency markets. The price of Bitcoin dipped below $80,000, representing a stark departure from previous highs and wiping out billions from the market.
As Bitcoin struggles, the broader cryptocurrency landscape remains uncertain. While the SEC is working on a regulatory framework that could lend clarity and potentially support the digital asset market, the immediate outlook appears grim. There is a prevailing sentiment that ongoing tariffs and the resultant volatility in economic relationships are contributing to a bearish trend for Bitcoin.
Meanwhile, the US dollar itself has come under pressure amid heightened tensions in US-China trade relations. Fresh tariffs from China in retaliation to US measures have added to concerns regarding a potential recession, leading to increased selling pressure on the dollar. Analysts note that if the upcoming consumer price index data shows cooling inflation, this might pave the way for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut—a scenario that could further weaken the dollar despite the potential for alleviating recession fears.
The USD's current weakness and the fluctuations in Bitcoin's price reflect a complex interplay of trade policy and economic sentiment. Forecast sources suggest that Trump's trade strategies might be contributing to a deliberate weakening of the dollar to serve national interests, with investors increasingly contemplating the ramifications of these policies on global trade dynamics.
Currently, BTC is trading at approximately $83,329, which is 8.9% below its three-month average of $91,447. This suggests heightened volatility in Bitcoin prices, which have recently oscillated within a striking 37.9% range, from a low of $77,000 to a high of $106,191. As both Bitcoin and the US dollar face significant challenges from regulatory developments and geopolitical tensions, market participants should remain vigilant and prepared for further fluctuations in the cryptocurrency and foreign exchange landscapes.
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Date
BTC/USD
Change
Period
28 Mar 2025
84378.07
4.4% ▼
2 Week
11 Jan 2025
94572.98
14.7% ▼
3 Month
11 Apr 2024
70019.57
15.2% ▲
1 Year
12 Apr 2020
7029.64
1047.6% ▲
5 Year
14 Apr 2015
217.92
36920.6% ▲
10 Year
BTC/USD historic rates & change to 11-Apr-2025
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Will the Bitcoin rise against the US dollar?
It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.
To help with this you can add BTC/USD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.
Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more