This is the current AUD-PHP mid-market exchange rate. The Total Cost of buying foreign currency in the above table is calculated as the sum of all fees and the exchange rate margin, which is the difference between the provider's exchange rate and the mid-market AUD-PHP exchange rate.
Whenever you are researching a particular exchange rate you are actually interested in two currencies as the value of a currency must always be quoted relative to a second currency.
So it follows that if you are determining the best time to transact, in this case the AUD vs PHP, you should pay attention to both Australian Dollar and Philippine Peso news and forecasts.
Improved risk appetite, thriving commodities markets and better data from China helped lift the Australian dollar through March and into the second half of April. Against the US dollar, the Aussie was quoted at US$0.715 on April-22.
In March, both Westpac and JP Morgan predicted an Aussie slide to US$0.68 in the second half of the year. Those banks were at least more optimistic than HSBC, which argued in April for US$0.66 based on housing market weakness, high debt-to-GDP levels and continued strength in the US dollar.
Bearishness wasn’t unanimous, though, with NAB forecasting Aussie appreciation at least until mid-year; it predicted US$0.74 by the end of June.
The RBA will be happy with a weaker currency, HSBC said. The central bank has recently shifted to a dovish bias (what should be an across-the-board negative for AUD), saying lower Australian interest rates will “likely be appropriate” if inflation doesn’t pick up.
The peso suffered one of its sharpest falls in recent years on March-12 when it weakened by 93 centavos against the dollar (an amount nearly four times the peso’s average daily range) to 53.05. This ended a good run for the peso, which appreciated away from record lows (54.43) in four of the five months between October and February.
The mid-march weakness was driven by significant developments in Philippine monetary policy. The country’s central bank governor suggested there could be significant policy easing this year in the form of policy rate cuts and cuts to the amount of cash that banks must hold in reserve.
The developments appeared to vindicate those analysts polled by Bloomberg in January, who collectively predicted that the peso would struggle in 2019.
An ING analyst said in March that the central bank would be comfortable with the peso between 52 and 55 per dollar, beyond which there may be market intervention. ING is forecasting the peso at 54.04 at year-end.
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