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    EUR Market Update

    29 Jul 2026 • 00:26 GMT

    EUR/USD 1.1384

    The euro remains below its recent 3-month average against the US dollar, trading at around 1.1384, about 1.3% weaker than the average of 1.1536. After recent stability, EUR/USD has been trading within a narrow range, indicating some caution among traders. The overall trend suggests a cautious tone ahead of upcoming US economic data and potential Federal Reserve moves. Sentiment is also influenced by geopolitical tensions and energy market volatility, which keep the dollar supported and the euro somewhat subdued.

    Against other currencies, the euro showed strength near 0.8570 against the British pound and is close to its 3-month highs against the Swiss franc at 0.9332, indicating some regional divergence. Trading remains stable overall, with many pairs remaining within their typical ranges. Market focus remains on US monetary policy signals and geopolitical developments that could shape the euro’s next move. While some banks forecast a slight strengthening of the euro toward year-end, uncertainties remain, especially around US rate hikes and Eurozone economic data.

    Forecast snapshot

    Quick EUR/USD forecast

    Near-term bias🔴 Mild downside
    Expected range1.1360 – 1.1540
    Dominant driver🌍 Global risk sentiment
    3-month trend⚪ Range-bound

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    EUR to USD at 1.1384 is 1.3% below its 3-month average of 1.1536, having traded in a very stable 3.8% range from 1.1359 to 1.1789
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