AUD to CAD Forecast & Outlook
28 Jul 2026 • 00:25 GMT
Quick AUD/CAD forecast
Currently, AUD/CAD is trading close to its 90-day average, though it is slightly above recent range highs. The pair is supported by risk-off sentiment which favors safe-haven currencies over risk-sensitive ones like the Australian dollar. Over the next few sessions, the pair may continue to face downward pressure as global risk aversion persists, especially with US dollar strength helping to sustain USD-related safe-haven flows. Near-term conditions suggest the pair could remain pressured if risk-off mood continues.
💸 Transfer implications
- Expats: sending money to Canada with AUD may find conditions less favourable than recent levels.
- Travellers: exchanging currency could see the Australian dollar buy fewer Canadian dollars.
- Businesses: paying invoices in CAD might face increased costs compared to previous periods.
🧭 Key drivers
- Rate gap: The interest-rate differential remains supportive of the USD and Canadian dollar, with the RBA's stance less hawkish than the BoC.
- Risk/commodities: Risk-off sentiment persists, boosting safe-haven currencies while pressuring risk-sensitive ones like AUD.
- Global factors: US dollar strength, driven by geopolitical risks and easing US inflation, underpins safe-haven flows.
⚠️ What could change it
- Upside risk: A shift towards risk appetite could reduce safe-haven flows and support the AUD.
- Downside risk: A sudden escalation of geopolitical tensions or a sharp decline in commodity prices may further pressure the pair.
BER suggests comparing FX providers to help offset less favourable exchange conditions and potentially reduce overall transfer costs.