Recent forecasts and currency market updates indicate a complex landscape for the AUD/VND exchange rate. The Australian dollar (AUD) has shown some volatility, retreating amid profit-taking and a lack of domestic economic data. Analysts highlight that the AUD is particularly sensitive to global risk sentiment and commodity prices, as Australia’s economy heavily relies on exports such as iron ore and coal. Current market conditions reflect a mixed sentiment, with the AUD experiencing a modest recovery during a risk-on mood but generally trending lower.
A significant factor influencing the AUD is the monetary policy by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Following a rate cut in August 2025, designed to bolster growth, the AUD faced devaluation pressures against the US dollar, raising concerns about inflation due to its weaker standing. Moreover, analysts note that ongoing global trade tensions and specifically US tariffs are posing challenges for Australia's export-driven economy, adding further downward pressure on the AUD.
Simultaneously, the Vietnamese đồng (VND) has been depreciating against major currencies, including the AUD. Experts forecast that the VND may see further depreciation of about 3% against the US dollar in 2025, driven by a strong USD and structural economic challenges. Additionally, following recent US tariffs on Vietnamese exports, there are considerations within the Vietnamese government to allow currency depreciation to maintain competitiveness in international markets.
As the AUD is trading at approximately 17,101 VND, it is only 0.7% below its three-month average of 17,220, indicating relatively stable fluctuations within a range of 4.8%. Going forward, both the AUD and VND will continue to be influenced by their respective economic policies, global commodity demand, and market sentiment. Keeping a close watch on these factors will be essential for individuals and businesses engaged in international transactions, as they navigate the complexities of currency market movements.
