The CAD/MXN exchange rate is currently bearish, trading near 90-day lows.
Key drivers of this trend include:
- The Bank of Canada has maintained its policy rate at 2.25%, signaling stability but limited upward pressure on the CAD.
- Recent job growth in Canada supports economic confidence, yet oil prices remain volatile, with Brent Crude OIL/USD currently 2.9% lower than its three-month average, affecting the commodity-linked CAD.
- Analysts expect modest growth in the Mexican economy, with stable exchange rate forecasts suggesting the MXN will remain within the same trading range.
In the near term, the CAD/MXN is likely to remain within a stable range, influenced by current low levels.
Upside risks could emerge from any significant increases in oil prices, which would support the CAD. Conversely, if U.S. economic conditions weaken or if the Canadian job market shows signs of decline, the CAD could face further pressure against the MXN.