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EUR to CAD Forecasts – euro to Canadian dollar

Latest EUR to CAD forecasts including bank predictions, key market drivers and recent trends for EUR/CAD. See where analysts expect the pair to move and the factors likely to influence it.

 

EUR to CAD Forecast & Outlook

20 Jun 2026 • 00:49 GMT

EUR/CAD 1.6257

📊 Forecast snapshot

  • Near-term bias: 🔴 Mild downside
  • Expected range: 1.5970 – 1.6260
  • Dominant driver: 🌍 Global risk sentiment
  • 3-month trend: ⚪ Range-bound

Currently, EUR/CAD is trading close to 1.6257, near its 90-day high and above the 3-month average of 1.6072. The pair is consolidating within its recent range, with risk sentiment remaining biased towards risk-off flows. The dominant driver is risk sentiment, supported by geopolitical tensions and global risk aversion. Over the next few sessions, conditions may remain supported by safe-haven demand, but any shift in risk appetite could limit gains.

💸 Transfer implications

  • Expats: sending money to Canada may find conditions less favourable than recent levels if risk-off sentiment persists.
  • Travellers: buying CAD cash could face downward pressure on the CAD versus EUR.
  • Businesses: paying CAD invoices may see less favourable exchange rates if the pair softens further.

🧭 Key drivers

  • Rate gap: The policy divergence remains uncertain but European and Canadian yields are holding near current levels.
  • Risk/commodities: Elevated geopolitical risks and oil prices continue to support safe-haven flows and pressure risk-sensitive currencies.
  • Global factors: US Federal Reserve hawkish signals and geopolitical tensions sustain risk-off conditions.

⚠️ What could change it

  • Upside risk: A shift in global risk appetite or stabilisation in geopolitical tensions could support EUR/CAD.
  • Downside risk: A sharp decline in oil prices or a further escalation in global tensions may pressure the pair lower.

BER suggests comparing FX providers to find lower margins and help offset less favourable exchange conditions.

 

CADEUR Bank Forecasts to end of the year

The outlook for CADEUR towards the end of the year shows mixed signals as major banks and institutions differ in their expectations. While TD Securities suggest potential CAD strength through its USD/CAD forecast, Scotiabank's projection indicates a somewhat stable EUR/CAD around 1.61 by the fourth quarter. Currently, both the Canadian dollar and the euro face challenges from their respective economic conditions, including geopolitical influences and bank rate policies.

Big bank views

  • Scotiabank projects EUR/CAD to reach approximately 1.61 by Q4 2026.
  • CIBC foresees limited upside for the euro, with a EUR/USD target of 1.20 within a year.
  • TD Securities indicates a CAD-positive view through a declining USD/CAD, possibly suggesting CAD strength.

What could change the outlook

  • Shifts in crude oil prices significantly impacting the Canadian dollar.
  • European Central Bank policy adjustments in response to evolving inflation and growth prospects.
 

EUR-CAD Rate Calculator

 
 
   
   
   
   
   
 
 

EUR to CAD Market Data

Euro (EUR) to Canadian dollar (CAD) market data - latest interbank exchange rate, trend, chart & historic rates.

 
Sell EUR   →   Buy CAD
1 EUR =
1.6182We compare provider deals to this wholesale mid-market rate. Read more
CAD
1d−0.3%
EUR to CAD is at 7-day lows near 1.6179, just 0.6% above its 3-month average of 1.6081, having traded in a stable 2.0% range from 1.5926 to 1.6250
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Compare & Save - euro to Canadian dollar

Exchange rates can vary significantly between different currency exchange providers, so it's important to compare euro (EUR) to Canadian dollar (CAD) rates from different sources before making a conversion.

Use our EUR to CAD calculator to see how much you could save on your international money transfers. makes it easy to compare the Total Cost you are being charged on Euro to Loonie currency rates and the possible savings of using various providers.

 
 

Will the Euro rise against the Canadian dollar?

This is always a difficult question as exchange rates are influenced by many factors, so a good method to consider the euro vs Canadian dollar current value is to look the EUR/CAD historic rate and change over a range of periods.

The following table looks at the change in the EUR to CAD exchange rate over periods from the previous week back to the last 10 years.

DateEUR/CADChangePeriod
09 Jun 2026
1.6096
0.6% 2 Week
25 Mar 2026
1.5972
1.4% 3 Month
23 Jun 2025
1.5925
1.7% 1 Year
24 Jun 2021
1.4699
10.1% 5 Year
25 Jun 2016
1.4437
12.1% 10 Year
28 Jun 2006
1.4101
14.8% 20 Year
EUR/CAD historic rates & change to 23-Jun-2026

It is almost impossible to predict what an exchange rate will do in the future, the best approach is to monitor the currency markets and transact when an exchange rate moves in your favour.

To help with this you can add EUR/CAD to your personalised Rate Tracker to track and benefit from currency movements.

 
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Rather than requiring you to set a target rate, our Rate Alerts keep you informed of recent trends and movements of currency pairs.

Add rates to your Rate Tracker and select to receive an daily email (mon-fri) or when a rate is trending

 

Forecasts disclaimer: Please be advised that the forecasts and analysis of market data presented on BestExchangeRates.com are solely a review and compilation of forecasts from various market experts and economists. These forecasts are not meant to reflect the opinions or views of BestExchangeRates.com or its affiliates, nor should they be construed as a recommendation or advice to engage in any financial transactions. Read more