The EUR/CAD exchange rate shows a bearish bias in the near term.
Key drivers include the interest rate differential, with the European Central Bank wary of further euro strength impacting inflation, while the Bank of Canada maintains its rates steady for now. Recent job growth in Canada offers support to the CAD, although oil prices, closely tied to the currency, are currently low, trading below their recent average.
The expected near-term trading range for EUR/CAD appears stable, fluctuating slightly around current levels.
An upside risk could emerge from stronger economic data in the Eurozone, potentially boosting the euro, while a downside risk could arise if Canadian retail sales show lower growth, hurting the CAD. Additionally, ongoing volatility in oil prices could further influence the CAD's strength against the euro.