The EUR to CAD market is currently range-bound, reflecting stable trading conditions.
Key drivers include the strengthening euro due to positive growth forecasts and the European Central Bank's careful approach to monetary policy. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar faces headwinds from a persistent manufacturing downturn and a firm U.S. dollar. Additionally, oil prices are currently volatile, with recent highs impacting CAD particularly as Canada is a major oil exporter.
In the near term, the EUR/CAD is expected to trade within a narrow range near current levels, supported by the euro's recent stability.
Upside risks include stronger-than-expected economic data from the Eurozone, enhancing confidence in the euro. Conversely, a drop in oil prices or a worsening Canadian economic outlook could negatively affect CAD, leading to shifts in the EUR/CAD exchange rate.