The EUR to MXN exchange rate displays a bearish bias in the near term.
The European Central Bank's decision to hold interest rates, coupled with its caution regarding a strong euro potentially lowering inflation, weighs on the euro. Furthermore, looming geopolitical tensions continue to create uncertainty, exacerbated by the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. Meanwhile, the Mexican peso is supported by forecasts predicting stability in exchange rates and potential strengthening due to easing U.S. Federal Reserve policies.
In the near term, the EUR/MXN may trade within a stable range, slightly below its recent 14-day highs. The euro is currently at about 21.15, just under its three-month average of 21.3.
Potential upside risks include a faster-than-expected economic recovery in the Eurozone, which might strengthen the euro. Conversely, downside risks could stem from deteriorating economic conditions in Mexico or further geopolitical tensions impacting investor confidence.