The EUR/ZAR market is currently range-bound, as recent movements indicate a lack of strong directional bias.
Key drivers include the interest rate differential between the European Central Bank and South African Reserve Bank, with the latter recently lowering rates to stimulate growth. Additionally, the Eurozone's projected economic growth of 1.6% in 2026 is supportive for the euro, while local economic improvements in South Africa, such as better electricity supply, could bolster the rand.
Expect the EUR/ZAR to trade within a stable range, influenced by shifting economic outlooks and geopolitical factors.
An upside risk for the euro could emerge from stronger-than-expected economic data in the Eurozone, while a downside risk may arise from increased geopolitical tensions affecting investor sentiment.