Canadian Dollar - New Taiwan Dollar Forecasting
When determining the best time to make a foreign exchange transaction, in this case the CAD vs TWD, you should pay attention to the recent market trends for both currencies.
Canadian Dollar (CAD)
The combination of an eroded US interest yield advantage, a broadly positive riskon mood and renewed euro demand, could be a catalyst to push the Canadian dollar along. The combination of an eroded US interest yield advantage, a broadly positive riskon mood and renewed euro demand, could be a catalyst to push the Canadian dollar along.
The Canadian dollar was range bound during the second half of 2019 oscillating between US75c and US76.5c. Mid-year the loonie stormed ahead in June and July, rising to what turned out to be the 2019 high against the US dollar of US76.7cents and to 8-month highs against the euro, pound, Australian and New Zealand dollars. Against the Aussie, a minimal additional increase would take CAD to a 9-year high.
Supporting the loonie was a 10 percent rise in the oil price (oil is among Canada’s most exported products but is volatile and can’t be relied upon), a large and welcome jump in inflation, and dovishness at major central banks of the world, including the Federal Reserve, ECB and RBA.
Read more in the article CAD Forecasts.
New Taiwan Dollar (TWD)
NAB told Bloomberg TV that it sees a recovery in Asian currencies in the 2nd half of 2020 if the coronavirus comes under control.
The benchmark Taiwan dollar exchange rate, USD/TWD, has done little over the past 8 months; it continues to range between 30.5 and 31. The Taiwan dollar is worth 6 percent less against the greenback than its 2018 high.
One major currency that TWD is doing well against is the Australian dollar. TWD struck a 10-year high against the Aussie in January (21.16 per AUD), and remains close to that level in early May.
Disappointing export data (March data showed exports falling year-on-year for the fifth consecutive month) is perhaps evidence of a global tech slowdown that could put pressure on Taiwan’s currency this year due to its sensitivity to corporate earnings (high earnings create substantial capital inflows into Taiwanese equities).
Forecast: ING said in late April that it was concerned that any below-forecast sales numbers in the smart phone industry could weigh on TWD. “As such,” ING said, “against the US dollar we've revised our [year-end] TWD forecast from 30.40 to 30.95.”