Singapore Dollar - Indian Rupee Forecasting
When determining the best time to make a foreign exchange transaction, in this case the SGD vs INR, you should pay attention to the recent market trends for both currencies.
Singapore Dollar (SGD)
At the end of March, Singapore's central bank eased its monetary policy, as widely expected, with the city-state's bellwether economy bracing for a deep recession due to the coronavirus pandemic.
The MAS said it would adopt a zero percent per annum rate of appreciation of the policy band starting at the prevailing level, currently slightly below the mid-point of the policy band.
The markets viewed this annoucement as showing the MAS has kept some fire-power in reserve and could intervene again to lower the SGD.
NAB told Bloomberg TV that it sees a recovery in Asian currencies in the 2nd half of the year if the coronavirus comes under control.
Overall, it was a mixed 2019 for the Singapore dollar, with small gains (<2 percent) against the euro and Australian dollar, but small losses against the US dollar and pound.
Read more in the article SGD Forecasts.
Indian Rupee (INR)
INR gained more than 2% in 3Q, despite having an economy ravaged by 6.6 million coronavirus infections. The support for the Indian rupee comes from a rare current account surplus, and billions of dollars in inflows.
Migrant workers from Asia’s developing countries, such as India, have been sending home record amounts of money in recent months, defying pandemic expectations and propping up home economies at a critical time.
However, it appears workers are just sending money home in advance of their own return due to a bleak job market, particularly in the Middle East.
The Indian rupee exhibits strong seasonal patterns: the rupee typically falls in value every second-quarter (April-to-June) due to India’s heightened gold demand heading into Akshaya Tritiya – the annual spring time festival of the Hindus and Jains.
Accordingly many currency forecasts point out that rupee strength is to be expected in the second half of a typical year.
Read more in the article INR Forecasts.