Recent forecasts and market updates indicate a stable outlook for the AED to SAR exchange rate, currently trading at a 60-day high of approximately 1.0219. Analysts note that the AED has remained within a narrow range of 0.5% over the last three months, reflecting consistent trading patterns between 1.0179 and 1.0230.
The UAE's economic resilience is projected to bolster the Dirham's value, with GDP growth forecasts for 2025 expected to range from 4.1% to 6.2%. This robust performance is attributed to strong consumer spending, significant foreign direct investment, and ongoing diversification efforts. Additionally, the introduction of a new currency symbol for the Dirham aims to modernize its representation, which could enhance confidence in the currency.
Despite the UAE's strengths, the impact of a weaker US dollar presents challenges, leading to increased import costs and inflationary pressures within the region. This dynamic may create fluctuations in the AED's performance against the Saudi Riyal. The Central Bank of the UAE's decision to maintain a steady interest rate at 4.4% reflects a cautious stance in an uncertain global environment.
On the Saudi side, the Riyal's peg to the US dollar at a fixed rate of 3.75 means that movements in the dollar directly influence its value. Given the current stability in the AED-SAR exchange rate and the broader economic factors at play in both countries, analysts remain watchful of any developments that could shift the underlying dynamics of this currency pair. Businesses and individuals engaging in international transactions should consider these forecasts as they plan for future exchanges.