The CAD to JPY exchange rate has a bullish bias, trading at 114.3, which is notably above its 3-month average. Key drivers for this trend include:
- The Canadian dollar benefits from a strong job market, with Canada adding 54,000 jobs in November and a drop in the unemployment rate to 6.5%.
- The Bank of Japan's recent rate hike to 0.75% aims to control inflation, supporting the yen but also adding volatility.
- Oil prices are currently low, trading at 2.2% below their 3-month average, but further changes could impact Canada’s economy due to its dependence on oil exports.
Expect the CAD/JPY pair to trade within a range that reflects current economic conditions, potentially seeing fluctuations linked to commodity prices or central bank policies.
Upside risks include a significant rebound in oil prices, while downside risks stem from any economic turbulence in Canada or a policy shift by the Bank of Japan that could strengthen the yen.